The Kremlin is actively conducting information operations against


, reminiscent of the tactics used before the invasions of Ukraine in 2014 and 2022. This raises concerns about a possible future Russian escalation in relation to Moldova. 

This is stated in the report of the American Institute for the Study of War (ISW).

In particular, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov made false accusations against the United States and the European Union, claiming that they control the government of Moldova and obstruct the negotiation process regarding the Transnistrian conflict in the "5+2" format. Such narratives, developed by Russian officials and pro-war bloggers, create the informational conditions for justifying possible Russian intervention.

The Kremlin also accused the US of orchestrating the protests that erupted after Yanukovych pulled out of the 2013 EU Association Agreement and said an alleged US-backed "coup" that followed led to Russia's invasion of Crimea and military action. in Donbas in 2014 to protect those who "opposed the coup" and Russian "compatriots abroad," the report says.

Analysts warn that the Kremlin is also using the idea of ​​protecting "compatriots abroad" regarding Transnistria to justify its invasion of Moldova, just as it did with Crimea and Donbass. Russian actions in Transnistria, in particular military exercises, raise concerns about possible destabilization of the region.

Earlier, the head of the General Staff of Romania, Vlad Giorgitse, said that

Moldova could become Russia's next target

if measures are not taken and tensions in the Western Balkans are ignored.