After the capture of Avdiivka, the Russian occupiers continue to press and attack.

On February 27, it became known that the Armed Forces had to withdraw from two more villages in the Avdiiv direction.

We are talking about the settlements of Severna and Stepove.

The day before, the Defense Forces withdrew from Lastochkino. 

TSN.ua found out where after Avdiyivka the occupiers are withdrawing their troops, where they will advance and which cities are under threat.

No matter how unpleasant it would be to admit it, the fact remains - against the background of ammunition starvation in the Armed Forces and the delay in aid from the United States, the Russians have the initiative in hostilities on the entire front line in Ukraine.

According to NYT journalists, the Russians have five main offensive targets, four of which are in the east.

NYT infographic / Photo: New York Times

Will the front collapse?

Analysts of the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) believe that even after the loss of Avdiivka, the collapse of the front in the Avdiivka direction will not happen, because the Armed Forces of Ukraine are withdrawing to the prepared defense lines.

"It is unlikely that the enemy will advance further. The situation may repeat itself, as it happened near Bakhmut. After its capture, the Russians said that they could advance further, go to Kupyansk and Vugledar. Nothing happened there, only now they started to conduct offensive actions... Therefore, from a military point of view, we should not expect major offensive actions by the Russians west of Avdiyivka," said military expert Oleksiy Hetman in a conversation with RBC-Ukraine.

At the same time, journalist Yuriy Butusov spoke on the air of Radio NV about the lack of defensive structures in the Avdiiv region, where the Ukrainian military should have retreated.

"People were taken (what I saw with my own eyes) to an open field. Unfortunately, all this time, during all these years of assaults, no rear positions were built behind Avdiivka, no engineering works were carried out.

Our soldiers do the demining themselves - those who are sent there.

Landmines are placed by the units themselves already during battles.

Holes, trenches - all this is dug during battles under enemy fire.

Of course, nothing major can be dug up," Butusov claims.

The key objective has not changed

Military expert, reserve colonel of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Petro Chernyk, in an exclusive comment to TSN.ua, stated that the key goal of the enemy has not changed - the Kremlin continues to seek at least to enter the administrative borders of Donetsk and Luhansk regions.

The occupiers are being "driven" by the date of March 17 - this is the day Putin's "re-election" will be held in the Russian Federation.

The dictator definitely needs some kind of victory by this time, and Avdiivka alone is not enough for his appetites.

"Nothing in the actions of the enemy has changed and will not change. Their main task is to reach the administrative borders of Donetsk region and Luhansk region. According to the map, these are

Chasiv Yar and Konstantinovka

. This is logical. Putin must finally be shown the result," says Petro Chernyk

Kurakhove - the "new" Avdiivka?

Today, a shocking video of Russian bombers dropping aerial bombs on front-line

Kurakhov appeared on the Internet.

Kurakhove on the map / Photo: t.me/DeepStateUA

Yesterday, February 27, the Russian army shelled the Kurakhiv community with artillery, as a result one person was killed and five were injured.

From captured Maryinka to Kurakhovo - 20 km.

Expert Chernyk does not rule out that the Russians can focus on Kurakhovo as well.

However, he emphasizes: this does not mean that the city will turn into ruins, like Bakhmut or Avdiivka.

According to him, the Russian Federation will advance

on the entire large arc - from Velika Novosilka in the south of Donetsk region to Kupyansk

.

Therefore, it is currently difficult to predict where the main thrust of the Russian forces will be directed.

Why the occupiers of Chasiv Yar

Captain Ilya Yevlash, the spokesman of the Ukrainian group of troops "Khortytsia", noted that Kadyrov's "Akhmat" units are advancing to the southwest of Bakhmut in the area of ​​Klishchiivka and Kurdyumivka, 

trying to break through to Chasovoy Yar

, which is west of Bakhmut.

Chasiv Yar on the map / Photo: Deepstatemap

"Engineering works were and are being carried out near Chasovoy Yar, the enemy is already quite close to this settlement. However, these engineering fortifications that are there will not allow the enemy to simply take an easy walk," he said.

Oleg Kalashnikov, the head of the press service of the 26th Dashkevich Artillery Brigade, explained on the air of the FREEDOM TV channel that the Russian Federation has a number of reasons for capturing Chasovoy Yar.

The main one is political, i.e. another "victory of Putin".

But besides that, Chasiv Yar is "a fortified town that is the gateway to the Kramatorsk-Slavyansk agglomeration."

"From here, they would be able to keep these two large cities and satellite cities under fire control. And moving forward would give them the opportunity to block our logistics, our routes for delivering everything necessary to combat units. At the same time, this would create a threat to our left flank - where Klishchiivka , Andriivka," said Oleg Kalashnikov.

Will Kurakhove, Toretsk, Chasiv Yar, Siversk suffer the fate of Avdiivka and Bakhmut

If you look at the map of the hostilities, even a person who is far from military affairs will understand that the frontline cities are now in a special danger.

Expert Petro Chernyk notes that the Russian Federation will not change its tactics.

The Russians will continue to shell Ukrainian front-line cities with anti-aircraft guns, fire artillery and throw thousands and thousands of "cannon fodder" into battle, advancing meter by meter and destroying everything in their path.

"Could it be otherwise? The enemy does not fight with point operations. He fights with

massed strikes and large infantry salvos

. Let's remember how it was. Where did the Russians use the quality of maneuver, precision of the strike and high-tech weapons? But nowhere. Massed artillery salvos of the model not even World War II, but World War I, and colossal infantry ramparts. Avdiivka has a recorded casualty ratio of 1 to 16, 1 to 17. These are unprecedented losses. They don't know how to fight any other way.

But we do not know what this fate will be.

Let's

not rush and not rush ahead

.

We have either "betrayal" or victory.

Now the enemy has some success, and we are already shouting "catastrophe, all is lost".

At this moment there is a point of courage of their success.

But let's not say that everything "Toretsk will be destroyed, Chasiv Yar will be destroyed," Chernyk notes.

The expert hopes that the line of defense will still be stabilized and the Russians will not be able to break through further.

Will the Russian Federation manage to capture all of Donetsk before the elections

"No one knows this. There is a fierce battle going on. We understand that the stakes are high, from their side, from our side. No one is going to give in. And it is very important for us not to let Putin implement this task (before the elections in the Russian Federation. – Ed. .). This will weigh a lot in the showdown between the "Kremlin towers" - whether the tsar is effective. But they also understand this," says Chernyk.

If the main goal is Donbas, then why Kupyansk

The Kupyansk-Lymansk direction regularly appears in the General Staff summary.

The Russian Federation is pressuring Sinkivka near Kupyansk itself and is trying to capture Tabaivka a little south of this city.

In general, according to experts, the enemy's main goal is to "drop" the Defense Forces behind the Oskol River and form a natural line along it.

Kupyansk and the villages of Synkivka and Tabaivka on the map / Photo: Deepstatemap

An important target for the enemy is Kupyansk, a major railway hub in the region.

"If the occupiers implement the concept of (capturing) two regions (Donetsk and Luhansk), then a railway junction is absolutely necessary. There is no global strategy here," says Petro Chernyk.

In his turn, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy is sure that there is no need to be afraid of the repeated occupation of Kupyansk, because the defensive line of defense in the Kharkiv region is "very good".

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