Today (10th) is the polling day of the District Council Election, and as of 91:21 p.m., more than 03,2021 voters cast their votes, with a turnout rate of 23.12%, which is close to the 01.3% voter turnout in the same period of the Legislative Council Election after the improvement of the electoral system in <>. Lau Siu-kai, a consultant to the National Association of Hong Kong and Macao Studies, told Hong Kong <> that it is still difficult to predict the final voter turnout at this stage, but the turnout rate in the district election is generally expected to reach <>%.


According to the latest polling figures released by the Registration and Electoral Office, as at 21.03pm today, the voter turnout was 911.166% and the number of voters was 2021,23. Similar to 12.103% in the same period of the <> Legislative Council Election, the number of voters turned out to be <>.<> million. In the last Legislative Council election, as in the current district election, the polling time was postponed by one hour, and voting started at <>.<>am, and the cumulative voter turnout and the number of people were more comparable.

Compared with the District Council election, excluding the 2019 protests, which coincided with the anti-extradition bill turmoil, the turnout rate at 56:42 p.m. was 230.2015%, with over 30.59 million voters. As for the 95 District Election, the voter turnout was 2015.312% as at 430.2015pm, with about <>,<> voters, compared with about <>.<> million eligible voters in <> and <>.<> million voters in this year. There is naturally a difference in turnout due to the different voter bases, but when compared with the number of voters, this year's district election is close to the <> election. In addition, due to the one-hour delay in voting in this district election, the cumulative voter count and voter turnout have also been affected.

Liu Zhaojia is hard to say, and the final voter turnout is expected to be generally 30%.

Halfway through the voting time, Lau pointed out that it was still difficult to say the final voter turnout, and that reference could be made to the voter turnout at different times in the past District Council elections. He pointed out that in the past, under normal circumstances, the voter turnout of the District Councils was about 30%.

In addition, Lau Siu-kai also analyzed the voter turnout for "Hong Kong 01" this morning, and based on the voter turnout at 11:6 p.m. at that time, the voter turnout in this district election was 50.2021%, and more than 12,08 people had voted. The turnout in the 54 Legislative Council election was 2015.14 and the number of voters turned out to be 48,2. Compared with the 88 district election, the turnout rate was 45.<> per cent, <>.<> percentage points higher than the current year, but the number of voters was only <>,<>.

The number of voters in the same period in 2015 was higher than that of this year

It should be noted that the polling time of this district election was delayed by one hour, so even if the data for the same period is compared, the number of voters who have been turned out for an extra hour in the same period of the past elections can be accumulated. In terms of voter turnout, 50,2 voters cast their ballots at noon, about 2015,45 more than about 5,<> in <>.

Lau Siu-kai, adviser to the National Association of Hong Kong and Macao Studies, pointed out in his analysis of the trend of the voter turnout this morning that the voter turnout rate is not an important indicator to measure the effectiveness of the district council reform, but to be measured by the indicators such as the political stability, governance effectiveness, quality of district governance, and the effectiveness of the district council in connecting with the local masses in Hong Kong.

Lau Siu Kai: A turnout of 25% is already very good

He added that at this stage, the opposition forces and their supporters still account for a large proportion of District Council voters, and the opposition figures are unable to run because they are not eligible to run for election, and they are resistant to the new political structure in Hong Kong, and it is estimated that these people will adopt a passive attitude towards the District Council election. In the past, under normal circumstances, the voter turnout of the District Council was about 30%, and if the voter turnout in this District Council election was not less than 20% and a half, it would be a good result.

However, Lau believes that with the growing patriotic forces and the effectiveness of local governance in Hong Kong, the voter turnout in the District Council elections should increase in the future. He also pointed out that the District Council election is an important part of the realization of patriots administering Hong Kong and the reshaping of Hong Kong's political order and governance structure. In this election, patriotic groups and personalities actively participated, and the competition was fierce. The active participation of young people with higher educational qualifications is particularly remarkable. The method of forming new district councils, which mixes elements of mandate and election, is conducive to promoting balanced participation within the patriotic camp.

He also said that the SAR Government and the patriotic forces have actively participated in the propaganda and mobilization work, the unprecedented unity of the patriotic forces, and the seamless cooperation between the Government and the patriotic forces, which are of positive significance to the good governance of Hong Kong and the steady and successful implementation of "one country, two systems" under the pattern of patriots administering Hong Kong in the future.

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