Although the Russian-Ukrainian war is hundreds of thousands of kilometers away from the Gaza Strip, the two wars reportedly share one thing: Ukraine's loss of its ground offensive to Russia, and another loss of the Israeli army to Hamas, cooperated by armed factions, in carrying out a ground offensive and a comprehensive invasion of the Strip for about two months.
Two researchers spoke to Sky News Arabia, one Russian and the other Palestinian, about the reasons for the failure of the ground offensive of Ukraine and Israel for a long time, despite the difference in combat power and efficiency owned by the Israeli army, in addition to the intensity of military supplies that Kiev has received against Russia since February 22, 2022.
According to the Russian researcher specializing in international affairs, Timur Dowidar, Ukraine exaggerated in throwing its soldiers with a furnace of Russian fire that opened up on them from all sides in Kherson and Bachmut, which was called the "meat grinder", without a militarily conscious study of the battlefield strongly, especially during what was known as the "counterattack".
In exclusive statements to Sky News Arabia, Timur Dowidar adds that Russia's overwhelming air superiority, in light of the Ukrainian side's lack of air forces and waiting for the arrival of F-16 fighter jets and long-range missiles, made the Russian army an accessible prey for Russian air strikes and artillery, especially since the Ukrainian rush before September 2022 caused heavy loss of life to Kiev.
Dowidar reviews a number of factors that contribute to the failure of the Ukrainian ground offensive:
The lack of powerful air forces and long-range missile models by Ukrainians made any ground counter-Russian offensive akin to suicide.
- The wide technological and technical difference, which represented a gap between the Ukrainian and Russian sides, paved the way for the detection of attacking soldiers on the ground and beating them while moving, especially on asphalt roads and mountain trails.
- The dependence of Ukrainians on drones and missile strikes and the inexperience of Ukrainian army soldiers have favored the Russian army in the ground confrontations that have occurred and are taking place, most recently in the strategic Bakhmut and Avdiyevka.
- Kiev forces were forced to stop fighting during the winter because of bad weather, because of the difficulty of the movement of tanks and tracks, due to the accumulation of snow and damage to personnel and equipment that impede any ground offensive, no matter how well prepared.
The Russian Ministry of Defense reported earlier that Ukrainian forces, since the beginning of the counteroffensive, have not achieved any significant success, losing more than 43,4900 people, more than 26,9 weapons, and among the Ukrainian equipment that destroyed 1831 aircraft, 25 helicopters, and 7,21 armored vehicles, including <> German Leopard tanks, <> French AMX wheeled tanks, and <> American Bradley infantry armored vehicles.
Dr. Ayman al-Raqab, a professor of political science at Al-Quds University, believes that Hamas, along with Palestinian factions, has been adopting the theory of "lightning strikes" for decades against the Israeli army, a theory that helps exhaust the most powerful armies and depletes its numerical strength, in light of the Israeli army's descent to attempts to pressure the ground and the ground invasion and prove its ability to restore deterrence from wide losses.
Ayman al-Raqab adds, in exclusive statements to "Sky News Arabia", that the state of Israeli intelligence failure paved the way for great losses in the case of the ground invasion, especially since the fighting is taking place in residential neighborhoods and village entrances, which are well-studied places and the Palestinian resistance is good at war in them, while the source of the Israeli army's strength in directing concentrated air strikes and long-range artillery and missile bombardment of its targets.
Al-Raqab stresses that there are many factors that contribute to the failure of any Israeli attempts to carry out a full-scale ground offensive in the Gaza Strip:
- The demographic and organizational nature of buildings in the Gaza Strip is overcrowded with buildings and residents, which makes it difficult to hunt faction members.
- The strikes of the Palestinian resistance and the factions depend on lightning strikes from homes, houses and trenches, and they help to attrition and hunt soldiers.
- Rocket barrages in the depth and mortar strikes by Palestinian factions since October 7 have contributed to a state of terror among the Israelis, a message that soldiers are experiencing.
- The Palestinian factions are holed up in homes and lurking underground, and the movement of armored vehicles in the narrow streets is very difficult, making them easy hunting for anti-tank weapons from shoulder weapons "RPJ", which is an effective weapon and is abundant among the factions.
- Hamas and other factions resort to developing and diversifying the places of their attacks towards the Israeli army, including shelling depth, targeting ambushes and setting military traps for tanks and groups of soldiers, a policy that helps distract decision-makers to study ways to counter-military response.
Palestinian media reported, on Sunday morning, the announcement that a large number of Israeli army soldiers were killed, after detonating IEDs in their position of 60 soldiers, east of Juhr al-Dik, in the central Gaza Strip.