The US president said on Tuesday that the continuation of the war in Gaza "is exactly what Hamas wants, which is not to see Palestinians and Israelis living side by side in peace," noting that continuing on the path of terrorism, violence, murder and war is tantamount to giving Hamas what it seeks and "we cannot do that."
CIA Director William Burns visited Qatar on Tuesday and participated in talks with the head of the Mossad, the head of the Egyptian intelligence service and senior officials from Qatar, where a proposal that includes a long ceasefire was reviewed, under specific conditions.
Political analysts told Sky News Arabia that the internal pressure by the US administration and the approaching US presidential elections are pushing President Biden to take new measures aimed at calming the conflict in the Middle East, resolving the current crisis and stopping its escalation in the coming days.
Analysts believe that the Biden administration seeks to avoid the escalation of military operations again and prevent the continuation of the war beyond Christmas, because this makes the war fertile material for Republicans, and will be a weakness for President Biden during his journey to retain a new term in the White House.
With the release of American child Avigil Aidan, the challenge facing Biden in the future is not only to release the rest of the Americans in detention, but to use the success of recent days to change the course of the war in Gaza.
The US president hopes to influence the start of any new military action, ensuring that it is further scaled down and that more is done to avoid civilian casualties, as the White House has already warned Israel against targeting southern Gaza, where many Palestinians have fled without a concrete plan to protect civilians.
Aaron David Miller, a former U.S. diplomat and fellow at the Carnegie Endowment, argues that "Biden is in trouble," because he has tied himself to Israel's war goals of eliminating Hamas, but in light of the growing humanitarian catastrophe and the dramatic rise in the Palestinian death toll, he is looking for ways to de-escalate and ultimately a way out.
The newspaper questioned Israel's efforts to expand its campaign to the southern Gaza Strip, saying: "Will Biden pressure Tel Aviv to stop operations or change its strategy in the south?"
In the short term, both Israel and Hamas seem to have strong reasons to continue the truce, with Netanyahu, under intense pressure, gaining some political support as more hostages return home, while Hamas has benefited from the cessation of airstrikes and ground operations to regroup and prepare for an expected expanded Israeli offensive on its southern strongholds.
Biden also has strong reasons to delay or prevent further crises in Gaza for humanitarian reasons and to mitigate the domestic political backlash from young voters who have condemned his direct support for Israel.
One uncertainty from the U.S. perspective is how much pressure Biden, who spoke to Netanyahu on Sunday, will put on Israelis to keep fighting for as long as possible.
According to the Washington Post, Biden's troubles are not limited to the cohesion of his administration and the foreign policy file, but extend to the issue of the presidential elections, the most sensitive and important file for the US president in the coming period with the approach of the electoral entitlement.
3 main tracks In turn, Ayman Samir, an expert specialized in international relations, said in his statements to Sky News Arabia that the priorities of the United States in the Gaza war are based on 3 main
The first track: protecting Americans in Israel and in the neighboring areas, and working to remove American citizens from the Gaza Strip, most of whom left through the Rafah crossing in recent days. Washington is also monitoring the situation so that it does not deteriorate too much, with a plan to evacuate Americans from Israel and Lebanon if things escalate more harshly.
The second track concerns the American hostages held by Hamas, which the movement puts them in the final stages to ensure continued American interest in finding a solution to this crisis. The U.S. interest also depends on not escalating the war and not entering into a regional war in the region, whether with Iran or its allies. The U.S. response to the attack on military bases was "very calculated."
The third track: demonstrating national support for Israel and emphasizing that Tel Aviv has strong allies. This sent a message to friends and foes in the region that the United States is a "reliable ally" and can be turned to in times of crisis.
The price of prolonging the war
But Samir believes that the prolonged war in the Gaza Strip has led to a reversal of the situation inside the United States, whether there are popular demonstrations or objections within the various American administrations, especially in the White House and the State Department. These pressures have prompted the Biden administration to back down "even if in form" from its handling. This was evident in the opposition to military operations in southern Gaza, where hundreds of thousands of Palestinians are stationed at risk of dying.
In the international relations expert's estimation, the United States does not want military operations to expand beyond Christmas and as the election run-up begins, "because that would make war fertile material for Republicans and former President Donald Trump. It will be a weakness for President Biden as he seeks to retain a new term in the White House."
"It is not in the interest of Biden or the United States to have long-term Israeli military operations that result in significant civilian casualties, because that would inflame American public opinion against Biden too much."
Biden's popularity has fallen to its lowest level during his presidency by 40 percent, with a large majority of voters rejecting his administration's approach to foreign policy and the war Israel is waging against the Gaza Strip, according to an opinion poll published by the American network "NBC News".
The decline was even more pronounced among Democrats, most of whom believe Israel has crossed the line in its military operations in the Gaza Strip, and among voters aged 18 to 34, 70 percent of whom disapproved of the US president's handling of the ongoing war.