The enemy will be able to carry out attacks on the energy infrastructure of Ukraine in the amount of 30 - maximum 50 missiles. But this number of missiles will not be dispersed throughout the country, but one or two objects will be selected and accompanied by a large number of drones.
This assumption was made on the air of "1 + 1" as part of the telethon by a military expert, Major of the Reserve of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Oleksiy Hetman.
"The main bet on drones"
"The Russians said that they would improve their tactics of attacking our energy infrastructure, taking into account their mistakes, as they believe, when they failed to leave us without heat and light," the expert said.
"This means that they will use not only ballistic and cruise missiles, as they did last year, but also very actively use drones, Shaheds, etc. It is on UAVs that the Russians will focus on, because the number of missiles they can use is limited," Hetman said.
"The enemy produces about 50 missiles a month"
"We heard a lot that there were few missiles left there, we even heard that there were two or three shots. But these were very optimistic conclusions. The Russians have about 15% of the missiles left from what they had at the beginning of the full-scale invasion," he said.
"That is, if you translate, then about a hundred Iskanders, a hundred and a half different missiles — Kh-555, Kh-101, even Kh-22, which they do not produce so much. But they can produce them. The occupiers produce up to 50 different missiles per month. For example, they can produce one or two Kinzhals, five or six Iskanders," the expert said.
"There will be a maximum of two or three missile attacks per month"
"Therefore, strikes on our energy facilities will most likely not be throughout Ukraine. They will choose one or two targets and attack. At the same time, the Russians will launch a very large number of drones — they are preparing for this," he emphasized.
"There will be a maximum of two or three missile attacks per month — they will not be able to physically do more. But there will be a very large number of Shaheds. These attacks will be in the amount of 30 - maximum 50 missiles. They are not capable of more. But another tactic is that this number of missiles will not be dispersed throughout the country, but one or two objects will be selected and accompanied by a large number of UAVs," Hetman commented.
"Our air defense has also improved, we also have experience. We are preparing for this. I am sure that this winter will be easier than the previous one. Our power engineers said that there would be no long-term outages," the expert summed up.
▶ On the TSN YouTube channel, you can watch the video at this link: When the Russian front will crumble and when NATO will enter the war | HETMAN
To recap, Ukrenergo named the worst-case scenario for the energy sector in winter.