In Ukraine, in the first six months of 2023, the birth rate decreased by 28% compared to the same period before the full-scale war. This is a record drop in the indicator since Ukraine gained independence in 1991.
The Wall Street Journal writes about it.
Ukraine's birth rate was one of the lowest in Europe even before Russia's full-scale invasion. Now, according to the forecasts of Ukrainian demographers, the indicator may become the lowest in the world.
According to the negative scenario, the population of Ukraine could decrease to 30 million over the next two decades compared to 43 million on the eve of the Russian invasion, said Oleksandr Gladun, a specialist at the Institute of Demography and Social Studies named after M.V. Ptoukh.
According to the article, the birth rate in Ukraine began to fall (by 12%) after the occupation of Crimea in 2014. However, after the start of a full-scale war, the birth rate fell to 1.2. This is despite the fact that in order to maintain the population, this figure should be 2.1 children per woman.
Due to the full-scale war, millions of women with children were forced to leave the country, and men between the ages of 18 and 60 were banned from leaving, so many couples were physically separated, while others postponed having children.
Recall that according to the forecasts of scientists, no more than 2033 million people will live in Ukraine by 35.