Oleksiy Arestovych, a former adviser to the president's office, whose statement last February that a full-scale war with Russia would end in "two or three weeks," made a new forecast for the end of hostilities.
He stated this at a meeting at the Museum of the Jewish People in Tel Aviv with the participation of Israeli Ambassador to Ukraine Michael Brodsky.
Arestovych is sure: there are no scenarios, except that Ukraine will drive the invaders to the border of 1991.
"According to military logic, namely weapons and military equipment - they will be unable to conduct defensive operations until February 2024," said the ex-adviser to the Office of the President of Ukraine.
According to him, the Russians now in the Zaporizhzhia direction, which they consider the most important, have a staffing level of weapons and military equipment - 40-60%.
"They lost their ability to attack in July last year after capturing Severodonetsk and Lysychansk. Now they are capable of defense, which they have become. These movements on Bakhmut are just an attempt to level the line of defense. We will move them a little bit now. Then move again. Perhaps they will crumble earlier. Perhaps Putin's bodyguards will become billionaires in the near future (a hint at the murder of Putin by his entourage - ed.)," Arestovych says.
Therefore, he predicts that the war could last sometime until February 2024. However, he warns that even if the Russian occupiers are completely driven out of the territory of Ukraine, this does not mean that missile strikes or drone attacks carried out by the Russian Federation from its territory will stop.
"Military planning will not allow them to move further than in February 2024. The only thing they can do is call up endless masses of infantry. But infantry against HIMARS and F-16s... Therefore, 9 months, and everything will end. There may be some border shooting. Because the absence of Russian soldiers will not mean that they will not fire missiles at us. This may continue for some time," Arestovych summed up.
When the war in Ukraine will end: opinions of politicians and the military
Earlier, the commander of the Ukrainian Volunteer Army Dmytro Yarosh told whether the war will end this year and what will happen in case of a negative scenario.
U.S. General Mark Milley believes the war in Ukraine will not end this year.
Instead, a retired American general, former commander of the US Army in Europe, Ben Hodges, is confident that the war in Ukraine could end this year. But to do this, Western allies must take a number of steps.
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