Vice President Lai Qingde.

(file photo)

[Instant News/Comprehensive Report] Compared with the fact that the Kuomintang has not yet launched a representative for the presidential election, Lai Qingde, the chairman and vice president of the DPP, will represent the DPP in the 2024 presidential election. Huang Weihan, a senior media person, published an analysis of "six nos" on Facebook PO, bluntly That is "unexpectedly", Lai Qingde will soon win the 2024 presidential election.

Huang Weihan said in a Facebook PO post that although the Kuomintang won a big victory in the nine-in-one general election last year, it has only been more than 4 months. Ke Wenzhe actually "didn't collapse", and his support could still exceed 20%. Huang Weihan pointed out that 2024 is gradually moving towards a situation of "six nos, no surprises".

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The first is "Lai Qingde, don't fall." When the DPP was "the most declining" after the election last year, Lai Qingde's polls still remained above 33%.

Lai Qingde is currently leading all possible presidential candidates in Taiwan in terms of support. His own polls are between 38-40, and Lai Qingde "does not fall."

The second is "Hou Youyi, I can't afford it". Because of the burden of the mayor of New Taipei City, Hou Youyi has not announced that there are indeed people in the blue camp who do not support Hou Youyi. The polls of Hou Youyi have dropped from nearly 40% after the election last year to the present. Only 26% remain.

Although there were no major wounds, small wounds caused continuous blood loss. Hou Youyi's momentum and polls were not up, and the chances of running and winning the election continued to be revised down.

The third is "Ke Wenzhe, don't collapse." Although he is ridiculed as a "4% party" on the Internet, Ke Wenzhe's support is stable between 18-20%.

This allows Ke Wenzhe to maintain a sense of existence. "Ke Wenzhe decides who will be elected in 2024" is not a joke.

The fourth is "Guo Taiming, I'm not familiar with it." What will happen to Guo Taiming, who has not been baptized in the real election, after he really enters the election campaign?

Due to the lack of reference evaluation, it is difficult to judge at present.

However, compared to the other political veterans mentioned above, Guo Taiming is indeed the one who is the least familiar with politics.

The fifth is "Lu Xiuyan, don't fight". The first blue camp "big guy" who announced that he has not thought about choosing 2024 is Lu Xiuyan.

The so-called "no contest is contest", even though it was announced that he would not be elected, the polls rose instead of falling, and voters in the blue camp still look forward to Lu Xiuyan.

The sixth is "Zhu Lilun, don't retreat." Huang Weihan believes that the "possibility" of Zhu Lilun's participation in the 2024 election is "extremely low."

However, "low possibility" does not mean "totally impossible". Zhu Lilun has not yet firmly promised not to vote in 2024. Even if he has promised, everyone still remembers that 2016 is three months before the election, October 25 , before going into battle and changing columns.

What will happen to Zhu Lilun before he registers at the election committee?

no one dares to say

Based on the above, Huang Weihan said bluntly, "If it is 'unexpectedly', Lai Qingde will soon win the 2024 presidential election."