Briefly:
Lukashenko painted a fantastic picture of the world, which is almost impossible to evaluate rationally.
Lukashenka did not develop the topic of nuclear weapons on the territory of Belarus and did not decipher the details.
Almost nothing was said about the role of Belarus in Russian aggression.
From Lukashenka's contradictory statements, we can conclude that he is not going to leave power.
Lukashenko hinted that on the agenda is the question of repressions against the relatives of "fugitives" and the confiscation of their property.
Lukashenko connected the problem of acute confrontation in the region with the issue of sovereignty and independence.
In principle, the formulation of the problem may be correct.
There are foreign troops on the territory of the country.
But he sees the main threat to sovereignty from the West.
A fantastic picture of the world is proposed, which is almost impossible to rationally assess.
Regarding the war in Ukraine, Lukashenka repeated all previous interpretations.
Unless the statement about half a million people killed and maimed on both sides and the thesis that people in Russia and Ukraine do not understand what they are fighting for, and therefore do not want to fight, drew attention.
In general, Russia is "healing up" during the war.
This is very different from the narratives of Russian propaganda.
At the same time, he called on Russia to use all weapons, phosphorus bombs, uranium shells.
Emphasis was placed on reviving his role as a peacemaker.
Like, we are for peace and negotiations.
As for the topic of nuclear weapons on the territory of Belarus, Lukashenka did not develop them and decipher their details.
A statement was made that this is our nuclear weapon, we will control it.
However, it is not clear whether Russia will agree to this.
He was also frightened by the possibility of deploying strategic missiles.
He denied the information that 80% of Belarusians oppose nuclear weapons.
Obviously, it is unpleasant to realize this.
One gets the impression that this issue is more of a problem for him than a political success.
Therefore, it is better to minimize such a sensitive topic.
It is important to record what was not in the message.
Lukashenko said almost nothing about the role of Belarus in Russian aggression.
He also shyly apologized for the presence of Russian troops on the territory of Belarus.
He tried to prove that this does not limit the sovereignty of Belarus.
From Lukashenka's contradictory statements, we can conclude that he is not going to leave power.
And he explained it by the fact that, they say, the enemies want Lukashenka to leave, so he will do the opposite.
And besides, his children and fans will be mocked if he is gone.
And in general, the people should decide who will be the president.
Actually, nothing unexpected: he has made similar statements before every election campaign during the last almost thirty years.
There were several messages on issues of internal politics and ideology.
For example, "pluralism is a tribute to Western fashion, parties divide people."
That is, at the level of theory, the idea of democracy is rejected.
Lukashenko noted that there will be no party in power in Belarus.
What explained his absence at the "Belaya Rusia" convention.
It was harshly stated that Belarusian identity is based on Orthodoxy, and historical memory should be integrated into the concept of the "Russian world".
Lukashenka also hinted that on the agenda is the question of repression against the relatives of "fugitives" and the confiscation of their property.
In general, Lukashenka demonstrated that he did not prepare much for the message.
For example, he first read a thesis, and then criticized his speechwriters for including it in the text.
The opinions expressed in the blogs represent the views of the authors themselves and do not necessarily reflect the position of the editors.
Valer Karbalevich
He was born in 1955.
Graduated from the history faculty of BSU, candidate of historical sciences, associate professor.
Radio Svaboda political commentator.
karbalevich@gmail.com
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