about oil, natural gas, fuel energy

It is the fifth factor in the daily life of the villagers.

The fluctuation of energy prices affects the well-being of the people and the vote of the politicians.

There are many parties that bring energy to campaign.

Most of them will reduce the price to compensate for the price that sometimes the policy is against reality.

market mechanism distortion

without strategy and control

The more it will aggravate the situation even worse.

At present, the national energy policy has rules for

Determine the amount of electricity production as a Reserve Margin or backup power production capacity.

in order to achieve stability in electrical energy

which is a master plan that has been used for a long time

But when the situation changes, Thailand has more renewable power plants, which means that when the status of renewable power plants is given more importance, it means that there will be more instability in the system as well.

The adoption of the production model of uninterruptible power or Reserve Margin can no longer be used as a criterion used to measure the stability of the electrical power system.

which was known

renewable energy

coming from solar energy

or wind power

There are many limitations and it's not even worth it. The use is also limited.

backup power generation system

It is bringing the maximum power consumption of the period.

Let's calculate the electricity consumption for the whole year.

which actually

demand for electricity

Each period is very different, e.g.

day and night

summer winter

Therefore, it cannot be used as a standard for calculation.

backup power generation

the whole country

Using the principle of calculating the risk of using electricity

The so-called power outage probability index, or LOLE, is a calculation that is most likely to match the reality, which is a calculation from all forms of electricity production at all times.

And take into account the uncertainty of renewable energy plants as well.

It is a calculation principle used in European countries and the United States.

It is a number that directly reflects energy security.

What should be the LOLE value of our house?

by evaluating the value

both economic and investment

and can be calculated

Risks of the future economy as well, for example, using the criteria of the likelihood of a power outage of 0.7 days per year, which we can calculate as an investment in electricity generation to see how much volume is needed.

Chances of 0.1 days of power outages per year, necessitating more back-up

to create stability of electrical power in order to minimize power outages, etc.

At present, the demand for electricity in our country, both in the household and industrial sectors, has increased in line with the population and industrial growth.

Last year saw growth of 2.5 percent. The services sector grew 11 percent in line with this year's economic growth forecast.

Compared to using electricity in the past year

Electricity consumption is expected to increase.

The campaign should also be based on accurate information.

iron fist