"Super Poll" reveals the risks

political failure

"Ung Ing-Uncle Tu" has a high risk of having the opportunity to turn around and change the election results, while "Sia Noo-Jurin" has a low risk because the party is a political institution.

not ad hoc

Moving the attacking party has no effect, pointing out that if the SRT, the PPP, the PPP kill each other and steal fish in the same pond.

destroy the entire strip

The chance to become a barren government

On March 19, 2023, the Super Poll Research Office (SUPER POLL) presented a survey on "Risk Assessment

Political Failure", a case study of 1,061 samples of people from all walks of life across the country between March 15-18, 2023, and found that more than 1 in 3 or 37.7 percent still support the government to continue working.

While 34.2 percent asked to be in the middle, quiet power and 28.1 percent did not support the government.

interesting is

When asked about the intention to draw a card for any prime ministerial candidate

(If selected), the top 5 found were: 39.0% stated Ung Ing (Phuea Thai) card, 21.9% stated Anutin (Pride Thai) card, 13.9% stated Jurin (Democrat) card, 13.2% stated card. Uncle Tu (including Thai Sang Chat) and 2.6 percent identified the Lung Pom card.

(Pracharat power) respectively

In addition, when analyzing political risks and the current MPs moving out of the party

(Opportunity reversal) found that 57.4 percent had little to no impact, while 24.5 percent had a moderate impact and 18.1 percent had a very high risk.

When analyzing political risks and trends

MPs leave the party

(Opportunity reversal) and the intention to pick a prime ministerial candidate card. If selected, it was found that the Lung Tu card (Ruam Thai Sang Chat) had the highest risk, at 27.1%. The Ung Ing card (Phuea Thai) had The next highest risk was 22.2%, Anuthin (Bhumjaithai) card had 18.2% risk, Jurin (Democrat) card had 12.9% risk, and Uncle Pom card had 12.9% risk.

(Pracharath Palang) has a risk of 3.6 percent, respectively.

The Super Poll Research Center said the political failure risk analysis in the poll suggests that

Opportunities for political inversions remain that could change the election results rankings, especially towards

Ruam Thai Party Creates a Nation that Raises

Gen. Prayut Chan-o-cha, the present Prime Minister, and Ms. Pae Thongtarn Shinawatra, the head of the Pheu Thai family.

with high risk, there may be an opportunity to change the mind of the people who intend to choose

This is the sentiment of the voters, which is likely to be an important factor from the analysis of other data.

assembled and found some possible causes, including

First of all, being a political institution, not being a newly formed political party that is said to be an ad hoc party.

It was not founded for some political purpose.

having a long-standing political ideology

And the performance of income insurance for cash crop farmers is likely to be an important factor, making the intention to choose the Jurin Laksanawisit card from the Democrat Party pose a low risk to the decision of the Democrat Party fans in intending to apply for the Jurin card. tra

Candidate for Prime Minister, if possible

Secondly, the conservatism that people want to return to their old way of life is reflected in the Bhumjaithai Party's cannabis policy, which is a way of life for the villagers to use marijuana for indigenous medical reasons.

traditional village doctors and Pride Thai Party's contributions to the health and welfare of medical personnel such as VHVs. International recognition around the world for their work through the COVID crisis.

This is likely to be an important factor making the risk low as well.

As for the destruction of the Bhumjaithai Party from the trend, it is unlikely to have the same effect as the aim of killing each other in power.

Super Poll said that

This risk analysis is mainly based on public sentiment. However, there is a risk that the political failure of political parties and prime ministerial candidates could be reversed for other reasons, such as the use of the law to coerce.

eat whole fish

dealing with political parties that compete for fish in the same pond

By eliminating the political parties that compete for the fish in the same pond, fewer denominator options can hit some people's political goals.

Because the strategy of winning the election and the goal of forming a government and entering the prime minister's position may be different parts.

The winner of the election may not achieve his goal of forming a government and not become prime minister.

Therefore, if they kill each other in order to compete for fish in the same pond

It may be broken together in the whole bar.

But if an agreement is reached in order for everything to move forward towards the goal as it has been, then it will be possible (Status Quo). This means that the ruling parties can still come together to form the government as it is now because of the votes. Today, the government side together will find that

Pheu Thai will not win on a land slide.

Negotiating an agreement among the ruling parties to overcome real conflicts is therefore an approach worth considering because of various reasons.

Both parties have potential, no one would be a silent target to be dealt with alone.