After the ICC in The Hague issued an arrest warrant for Russian President Vladimir Putin, there are two scenarios for his future.

One of them is that the dictator simply will not live to see the trial.

This was told by political technologist and writer Mykhailo Sheitelman, Channel 24 reports.

He noted that certain categories of the Russian population have realized that their future is rather bleak.

So, first of all, we need to "surrender" Putin.

At the same time, the political technologist assesses the probability that the president of the Russian Federation will end up on the dock as very small.

Thus, Sheitelman gave an example of the fate of the Iraqi dictator 

.

He did appear before the court, but for this the US army had to capture Baghdad.

"I have little faith in the capture of Moscow by American troops," the expert noted.

Regarding the fate of the ex-president of Yugoslavia, the dictator 

, the political technologist reminded that he was brought to court.

However, the difference between Milosevic and Putin is that he did not pose a danger to the new elites of Yugoslavia, that is, they were not afraid that the dictator would reveal something.

"It seems to me that the next regime after Putin in Russia will be made up of people from his current entourage. They definitely do not need Putin to tell the truth about their participation in this war," Sheitelman said.

That is why he does not believe that the Russian dictator will live to be tried at all.

The expert sees two scenarios for Putin in this case: 

The political technologist also drew attention to information from The New York Times, which reported that sanctions will not be lifted until the Russian Federation executes the warrant for Putin's arrest.

So, according to Sheitelman, deputies, industrialists and entrepreneurs in Russia will now understand that

"I think it had an equally strong impact on the oligarchs, who tried to use their lobbying efforts to get the sanctions lifted now," the expert added.

We will remind you that on March 17, the International Criminal Court in The Hague issued an arrest warrant for Putin and the Commissioner for Children's Rights of the Russian Federation, Maria Lvova-Belova, on suspicion of illegal deportation of Ukrainian children.

From now on, Putin has the status of a suspect and can be arrested and brought to court if he visits 123 countries.

The chief prosecutor of the International Criminal Court, Karim Khan, assured that Putin will stand trial in The Hague, regardless of Russia's arguments.

It is about the statements of the Russian Federation that it does not recognize the jurisdiction of this court and has not ratified the Rome Statute.

Read also:

• Medvedev mentioned toilet paper through the warrant for Putin's arrest

• "It's justified": Biden spoke about the warrant for Putin's arrest

• The Russian MP called to attack Turkey "until it recovers from the earthquakes"

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