President Tsai is expected to visit Central American allies in early April, and is expected to meet with US House Speaker McCarthy while transiting through the US.

(Reuters)

[Compilation of Sun Yuqing/Comprehensive Report] President Tsai Ing-wen is expected to meet with US House of Representatives Speaker McCarthy in the United States during her visit to Central American allies in early April, so as to prevent China from making trouble around Taiwan again by using McCarthy's visit to Taiwan.

Scholars and observers of international relations are divided on this. Some people think that China will also take the opportunity to "retaliate", but some people affirm that the meeting between the two in the United States will be "pragmatic and not provocative", which will help McCarthy achieve his goal of elevating the Taiwan issue.

Eric Sayers, an expert on Asian affairs at the American Enterprise Institute (AEI), a Washington think tank, pointed out that McCarthy's meeting with President Tsai in the United States is the best way for him to support Taiwan.

Such an arrangement not only helps McCarthy achieve his goal of elevating the Taiwan issue, but also demonstrates his willingness to meet with President Tsai. It also makes it more difficult for Beijing to respond provocatively like Pelosi did.

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"German Marshall Fund" (GMF) Asia Program Director Ge Laiyi said that if McCarthy visits Taiwan immediately after Pelosi, it will not be good for Taiwan, and if he visits Taiwan this year, the Communist Army may hold another The large-scale military exercise, on the contrary, strengthened the Kuomintang's statement that "the DPP brings war, and the Kuomintang brings peace."

Given that Taiwan's presidential election is approaching, it may cause political harm to the DPP.

Craig Singleton, a senior China researcher at the Foundation for the Defense of Democracy (FDD), affirmed that President Tsai and McCarthy made the right decision to avoid repeating the consequences of Pelosi's visit to Taiwan last year; "Principled, pragmatic and least provocative" is a viable option, because the leaders of the United States and Taiwan are strengthening relations and deterring China's further aggressive behavior. It is hoped that more members of Congress who have not yet visited Taiwan will come to California to listen to President Tsai's speech .

However, Singleton did not forget to warn that Beijing will undoubtedly protest President Tsai's speech in California, and may even launch "limited military exercises." provocative.

Wang Hongen, an assistant professor of political science at the University of Nevada, Las Vegas, also believes that it is a "smart" decision for President Tsai to meet with McCarthy in the United States, because Pelosi's visit to Taiwan last year greatly increased Taiwan's visibility, but it also made China There are excuses to make things happen, making Taiwan's public opinion even more polarized about Pelosi's visit to Taiwan.

In contrast, the "Financial Times" said that President Tsai "persuaded" McCarthy to meet in the United States instead, and this matter became "America's domestic affairs." If China conducts military exercises against Taiwan again, it will be even more unreasonable for China.

Xiao Qiliang, executive director of the "Global Taiwan Institute" (GTI), also said that it was "completely appropriate" for McCarthy to meet with President Tsai when she was in transit in the United States, and China's reaction would not be excessive.

However, this does not mean that McCarthy will not visit Taiwan in the future. "The speaker should still visit Taiwan whenever necessary. This kind of visit is an important political signal of support for Taiwan and the people of Taiwan, and it is also a positive example for other countries."