• 250 senators are the wall. Can we clear with the senators if the Pheu Thai Party can clear it?

    Opportunity to come into government is possible.

  • "Thammanat" led MPs to return to affect the people of the People's Democratic Party fled - "Big Fort" did not dare to accept while politics was still in the negotiations

  • Is the Pheu Thai Party better than the PPP?

    But what about politics?

    In fact, it may not be as expected. 





Thai politics last week

Issues of interest to the people

is the movement of the Ruam Thai Sang Chart Party (RTP) that has always come out

especially when

General Prayut Chan-ocha, Prime Minister and Minister of Defense

speak to the media 

"It's time to say it yourself"

in the case of joining the Ruam Thai Sang Chart Party or not.  

Even though there have been news reports from time to time, keep an eye on

"Big Tu"

preparing to sit on the chairman's advisor (RTC), while

"Suchart Chomklin"

and

"Thanakorn Wangboonkongchana"

went to discuss with the Prime Minister whether there was a Sor. The MPs are at the people, including taking the nets. The Songkhla MPs also met

"Big Tu"

, while the Prime Minister himself thanked him for coming together.

Help each other work for the nation by expecting that Gen. Prayut

Will also sit in the 1st prime ministerial candidate of the Ruam Thai Sang Chart Party 

The other party is equally interesting.

Palang Pracharat Party (PPP), the leader of the government established by

"Big Pom",

Gen. Prawit Wongsuwan, Deputy Prime Minister.

With the previous news,

"Big Tu"

and

"Big Pom"

, the opinions are not straight, they differ until it is the source of the prime minister preparing to go to a new party. 

While another trend says it's a plan

"split together, hit together"

and then come together, it's very similar to the operation of 

"Mr. Dubai"

Thaksin Shinawatra, the former prime minister who used to use until there was a catchy sentence.

The political neck during that period, the battle of

"breaking a thousand banks" 

Especially when there is news that Capt. Thammanat Phromphao, leader of the Thai Economic Party, will bring 13 MPs back into the embrace of

Palang Pracharath Party again, there was an immediate reaction from various nets within the PPP.

that may decide to resign

Part of it went to live with Big Tu, the other part went back to the old party like Pheu Thai. 

What is the truth like in this event? How will the 3 old soldiers continue in the political game from now on, before entering the upcoming big elections?

Thai Rath online political news team.

We have the answer  .

Assoc. Prof. Dr. Yuthaporn Issarachai, Lecturer at the Faculty of Political Science

Sukhothai Thammathirat Open University

Assoc. Prof. Dr. Yuthaporn Issarachai, Lecturer at the Faculty of Political Science

Sukhothai Thammathirat Open University

with 

Assoc. Prof. Sukhum Nuansakul, political science academic and Thai political analyst

 Let's solve the complaint here. 

"Thammanat" raises 13 MPs to return to the PPP. The reaction accelerates other groups in the party to decide to move out. 

Assoc. Prof. Dr. Yuthaporn Issarachai, Lecturer at the Faculty of Political Science

Sukhothai Thammathirat Open University

said that this was possible on one side, namely the group that went out with

Gen. Prayut Chan-o-cha, Prime Minister, on behalf of the

"Ruam Thai Sang Chart"

party , another group is the part with General Prawit, Palang Pracharat Party.

But this time there might be some.

who moved back to the party they were in, for example, some moved back to Pheu Thai Party or may move to different parties such as creating the future of Thailand, etc.

Therefore, the future of the Palang Pracharat Party, even if there is no

"Khun Thammanat",

has already split into many groups.

It's even more a catalyst.

The political groups on General Prayuth's side could not get along with Thammanat, so they decided to

leave more.

Looking forward, the future of the PPP will be even more difficult.

Are you the next leader in forming the government? 

Assoc. Prof. Dr. Yuttaporn said that it is not certain. The rules of the constitutional government

It is not stipulated that a political party must get the most votes to be the party to form a government, as in 2019, the Pheu Thai Party received the most votes but was unable to form a government.

Finally it was

"Pracharat power"

to form a government 

Therefore, it is not important that

It is the number 1 party that can form a government.

but it depends

Can you clear with 250 senators, which is an important wall according to the transitional chapter?

If cleared with 250 senators, the chances of forming a government are high.

Because even though it's not the party that gets first place, but if the senator supports it, other parties will run him.

Therefore, at this point, it cannot be said that

The PPP split up into several parties, being smaller and unable to form a government.

But it depends on the political situation. 

Indicates that the PPP is divided into 2 groups, it is heavy, expecting the next election to be 50 MPs, but the PPP is heavier 

Assoc. Prof. Dr. Yuttaporn further said that the PPP could elect 50 MPs in front, it was possible, if the PPP accepted that it was heavier, it could be lower than 30 MPs, it is possible now. Democrats have more than 50 seats, but there are a lot of news that they will move out, joining more than 20 people, accounting for 20% of the party, and it is shocking as well.

"Big Tu-Big Pom" Power 3 Por. Really broken?

Lecturer at the Faculty of Political Science, Thammasat University said that I think there should be no difference in the 3rd grade.

if really different

That means the end of the power of the NCPO. Today, 3 years old with good political strategy.

With a personal relationship that has been together for a long time, I think they are not different.

but see some mismatches

Especially about the team

We see that there are divided into 2 large teams,

"Uncle Tu"

and

"Uncle Pom"

. These teams are things that can't move on, but the 3 P.S. themselves or even the 2 P.P. Gen. Prayut With Gen. Prawit, I think there's nothing to break.

Looking at the Pheu Thai Party, the opportunity to come back to be the government in the next election is better than the PPP?

“I still think it's 50-50 now, because firstly, can the 250 Senator checkpoint be cleared for Thais?

If Pheu Thai can clear

Opportunity to come into government is possible.

Even if Pheu Thai actually gets a land slide of 250 seats, it still needs 126 seats. It requires 376 or more voices from 750 or even those.

MPs gathered together to get 376 without having to rely on 250 senators, which is good and ideal too.

but in reality

very difficult

It may not be possible because MPs come from a variety of backgrounds.

both ideology and politics, to have unity as a senator. I think it's difficult, while 250 senators can see when they vote in the same direction, they all go left, turn right, turn around. Very few people break out.

Therefore, the opportunity for the Pheu Thai Party to say that the land slides and can form a government

Anyway, we have to clear with 250 senators anyway," Assoc. Prof. Dr. Yutthaporn said...

Indicates that "Big Tu" still has an advantage if it is a candidate for the Prime Minister, the Royal Thai Navy, plus there are 250 senators waiting for the position.  

Assoc. Prof. Dr. Yuttaporn points out that Gen. Prayut

Only one request today

United Thais create a nation

Ask MPs for more than 25 seats, ie 5 percent, so they can offer 25 prime ministerial candidates, it's not difficult.

It depends on the magnetism of the candidate.

United Thais create a nation

How much is there?

Because if the prime ministerial candidate

of the Ruam Thai Sang Chart Party, launching as Gen. Prayuth, for real, guaranteed to be a magnet that attracts

MPs come from various parties, especially the PPP-PP, and more than 25 seats are not difficult, or even Gen. Prayut himself.

Today, polls may say that we see General Prayut's popularity rating not very good.

was criticized in society a lot

But in some areas, such as the southern region, General Prayuth

Is a name that can be sold, so 25 seats, I think it's not a point of concern, because today General Prayuth has the advantage.

That is, we still do not see the number of each party, how much we get, but for sure we see 250 senators sitting and waiting for one party.

If the prime ministerial candidate stands out, then there will be a magnet.

Don't worry, it's a minority government. 

"Don't worry. At that point, if the prime minister candidate

Who is being held up?

then there is outstanding

Soon there will be a magnet to attract various political parties.

join the government itself

This is not to worry at all.

Will be a minority government, but of course, what ministerial quotas

may be at a disadvantage

make the medium-sized party joining

Get a good chair, whatever it is, I think it's a magnet that will pull it." Assoc. Prof. Dr. Yuttaporn concluded. 

Assoc. Prof. Sukhum Nuansakul, political science academic and Thai political analyst

"Thammanat" returned to hit the people of the Democratic Party, fleeing "Big Fort", did not dare to accept politics in the negotiations. 

Assoc. Prof. Sukhum Nuansakul, a political science scholar and Thai political analyst,

said that he felt that

"Big Fort"

did not dare to speak, because it also affected the general election.

because there is still a case

But if it's a member of the party, they will accept it.

but don't know

Can the party's children agree with Thammanat?

because we don't know how tight

Between morality and party members, how big is it?

Each person is still worried about how to get a seat in the next council.

It's in the negotiations.

Looking at the future, the PPP splits into 2 groups and has the opportunity to return to be the leader to form the next government.

Is it very difficult?

Assoc. Prof. Sukhum said that he looked at politics as usual.

It's not a chance.

Because it must be a party that scores either number 1 or number 2, but this time, if it's

"separately walking together, hitting together"

on the side that has power now

He may say split into 2 parties, but when the time is right there, he will unite.

This time, normal political conditions are unacceptable like that.

It has to sort it out, tell the 1st party, which party, the 2nd party, which party?

If it happens separately, it may not come in second place, but if combined, it has the right to come in second place, third place, but there is no legitimacy in the image that rises because it is not the first party, the second party.

PPP and RRT can form a government

a minority government

Then the Coalition will not force the Prime Minister or 

Prof. Sukhum further said that he would use that style, I think, that is, get 250 senators to support the government before the first round.

Then it will attract itself.

but have to accept

The bargaining power of the ruling coalition will be greater than that of the leading party.

As we have seen, Abhisit Vejjajiva became prime minister.

but the ministry is cool

all gone to other parties

I believe that the 2 p.m. are not broken.

But the subordinates want "Big Fort" to negotiate for them.

Because Big Tu can't negotiate.  

Political science scholars and Thai political analysts

said that "Big Tu" I think he plays politics, thinks he can determine, he determines.

And then have to help each other as he set out, namely the beliefs of 2 people

(Big Tu-Big Pom)

"He may walk separately.

but his heart is together"

But today there is a problem with his subordinates because

"Big Tu"

he doesn't really care about MPs, so MPs hope to use

"Big Fort"

as a negotiator.

in order to get what you want

Because he can't

negotiate with 

"Big Tu" , so if the election has come, then

"Big Fort" 

can be solidly reached. Gen. Prawit is not prime minister.

But he will represent

his MPs

This is the belief of MPs.

“He's not actually split.

Species are in each other's poles, not wanting each other.

probably won't go like that

because he constantly emphasized their relationship

But today he may think on the other side of us, that is, we think that today the 2 sides are united and still tired.

I don't know how much they've separated, so they might think that they couldn't fight with the original method.

Then try to think of a new way," Assoc. Prof. Sukhum said...

Look at the PPP and Pheu Thai general elections, who do you think will win? 

"If there are no 250 senators, Palang Pracharat, there is no need to say that there will be a chance to return.

Or the Big Tu group has the opportunity to come back, but when there are 250 senators, it's like running 100 meters, even if he receives 50 meters first, "Sukhum said in the end ... 

This work concludes that 2 political gurus agree or are similar in many matters, for example

, 250 senators give "Big Tu" an advantage

or

brothers and sisters in the 2nd

grade

.

"who brought them back to the PPP

Have to wait and see every line of politics that moves

It's all about dressing up and getting ready to be as ready as possible.

heading for a big election

that will happen in the year 2023.



Author : Dejjuyee 

Graphics: Theerapong Chaiyatep