Military analyst and officer of the Israel Defense Forces Yigal Levin believes that currently the capabilities of the army of the

Russian Federation

"are not progressing, but degrading." 

He

expressed

this opinion in a comment to "NV".

"They are getting worse and worse with equipment, with the training of people. Any subsequent attacks are weaker, worse, less organized and so on," the analyst explained.

As an example, he cited the situation near Vugledar in Donetsk region.

There, notes Yihal Levin, thanks to the efforts of Ukrainian soldiers, dozens of pieces of equipment are destroyed, and the best units of the Russians are destroyed.

"Actually, the occupiers manage to occupy one and a half houses in summer cottages near Vugledar. This is the price at which they lose such enormous power," he says.

Currently, says Levin, in a sense, the Russian Federation has begun its onslaught, because even if it is combat reconnaissance, it is also part of a big offensive.

"You shouldn't think that the big offensive is a cavalry charge that starts with a wave of the hand. But this pressure that is happening under Ugledar, in the direction of Bakhmut, is all one idea of ​​their big offensive, which is talked about in the media. They are trying to scout by combat to feel the weak positions, links, weak sides of the Ukrainian defense", - emphasizes the officer of the Israel Defense Forces.

Probable offensive of the Russians

American ISW ​​analysts emphasize that

the Russian military command is setting unrealistic deadlines

and is in a hurry to launch an offensive to capture the Donetsk region.

The occupying army does not have sufficient combat power.

Moreover, Russia is unlikely to increase its combat power.

British intelligence officers believe that the Russian Federation

in the coming weeks

, it will not be possible to achieve significant success in the offensive

 in Donetsk region.

The reason is the lack of ammunition and qualified units.

It is noted that Moscow is trying to resume major offensive operations in Ukraine from the beginning of January 2023. 

The former commander of the US forces in Europe, Ben Godges, is skeptical that

the enemy's new attack on Ukraine will be of any significance

.

According to him, despite the fact that the Russians managed to accumulate a lot of manpower, the offensive requires equipment and supply chains. 

The former head of the Foreign Intelligence Service, Mykola

Malomuzh, says that it takes 4 to 6 months to prepare for a full-scale offensive by the Russian Federation. 

According to him, Russia has only 30,000-40,000 soldiers who will face local tasks in Donbas.

Read also:

  • They lose up to a battalion of personnel every day: the reserve general of the SBU assessed the plans of the Russian Federation to seize the entire Donbas by March

  • "Great offensive of the Russian Federation with 500,000 mobilized": expert Tom Cooper - on the real state of the Russian army

  • The occupiers are preparing something: Zelenskyi - about the threat of a repeated attack by the Russian Federation

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