Many U.S. defense officials have been concerned about the situation in the Taiwan Strait in recent years, and often conduct analysis on the Communist Army's war attempts.

The picture shows the national army stationed in Kinmen raising the flag.

(Reuters file photo)

[Compile Sun Yuqing/Comprehensive Report] An admiral-level commander of the U.S. Air Force recently warned that the U.S. and China may go to war over the Taiwan issue in 2025.

However, Colin Kahl, undersecretary for policy affairs of the US Department of Defense, said in a recent interview that he does not think that Chinese President Xi Jinping has made a decision, and he has not seen signs that China may use force against Taiwan within two years. It is clear that the United States still outperforms its adversaries in a number of key areas."

Defense News and Air Force Times uploaded on the 6th Carl's Podcast "Early Bird Briefing" hosted by Defense News Editor-in-Chief Mike Gruss on January 31 ( In an interview with Early Bird Brief, Carr responded to the US Air Mobility Command (AMC) Commander Mike Minihan's claim that both the US and Taiwan will hold elections in 2024, which may give China an "opportunity to take advantage of" out response.

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"The honest answer is, no one knows. Including Xi Jinping, I don't think he has made a decision (to invade Taiwan). I don't see any indication that this is going to happen in 2 years," Carr said.

China continues to promote military modernization, many of which are aimed at countering the United States and building the ability to coerce Taiwan. This can be seen from China's response after Pelosi, the speaker of the US House of Representatives, visited Taiwan in August last year. , they are committing resources to invade Taiwan sometime in the future.

Carr stressed, however, that there was nothing to suggest that Xi believed the PLA was ready to do so.

Carr said that all things being equal, Xi Jinping should want to resolve the Taiwan issue without force, especially given the situation with Russia in Ukraine.

Although the Russian army is the second strongest army in the world on the surface, after invading Ukraine, it does not look like the second in the world at all. What's more, the People's Liberation Army has not fought a war since the 1970s, and the last battle was not so smooth.

Karl explained with the example of American football, it's like having 2 teams in the preseason that look like they're going to the finals, but one of them has never played a game, and the other has been playing season after season for decades "I'm not sure the Chinese leadership thinks it's possible, I'm not even sure they've decided that's what they want. I think they're very aware that the U.S. is still ahead of its rivals in many key areas."

However, Carr also warned that the U.S. Department of Defense must ensure that the United States' current deterrent capabilities are meaningful and genuine, "so that our adversaries wake up every day and say, today is not the day."