US media CNN reported that the incident of Chinese spy balloons intruding into US airspace reflects that Beijing may have seriously miscalculated.


[Compilation of Yang Fuyi/Taipei Report] According to a report by CNN, experts who observe Chinese elite politics analyzed that the incident of Chinese spy balloons intruding into U.S. airspace reflects that Beijing may have seriously misjudged, either within the Chinese government or with another institutional entity. The lack of communication between the US and the United States not only did not improve relations with the United States, but also suffered serious damage. US Secretary of State Blinken announced the suspension of the visit to China. The source of the trouble was the General Secretary of the Communist Party of China and Chinese President Xi Jinping who has the right to make decisions on US airspace surveillance.

The report pointed out that China seemed to be looking forward to improving relations with the United States in the new year. Blinken's visit to China was regarded as a good opportunity to strengthen China's own economy and repair bilateral relations between China and the United States. It appears that Beijing was caught off guard by the surprise, as China's leadership is now racking its brains to try to defuse the current diplomatic crisis of heightened tensions with the United States.

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Chinese officials insisted that the "airship" was used for meteorological scientific research, and it strayed into the U.S. airspace due to a serious deviation from the scheduled route. At the beginning, it rarely expressed "regret" for this. The statement on the 4th seemed to intentionally refer to the balloon as some "company". , not owned by the Chinese government or military.

Still, the line between China's state-owned enterprises and its powerful military-industrial complex is blurred.

The United States revealed the relevant details of the invasion of Chinese spy high-altitude balloons, and pointed out that it was part of the surveillance operation of the Chinese balloon army. In the past few years, Chinese spy balloons have been found in the sky over five continents.

The report quoted Zeng Ruisheng, director of the China Studies Center at the School of Oriental and African Studies (SOAS), University of London, in the UK, as saying that any surveillance operations in China involving the US airspace must be approved by the top leadership, including Xi Jinping himself; The "complete misjudgment" of the strong reaction to the balloon is that the Chinese leadership failed to "see the overall situation" among various actions, so that it failed to make a judgment in advance that the use of the balloon might affect Blinken's visit.

Zhuang Jiaying, associate professor of the Department of Political Science, National University of Singapore, put forward another view, that is, in China's huge bureaucratic system, the right hand may not know what the left hand has done, and the balloon incident may be purely caused by a lack of coordination within China.

The report said the fallout from the balloon accident dealt a severe blow to U.S.-China diplomatic interactions and Beijing.

Yang Dali, a professor of political science at the University of Chicago in the United States, said, "I think the Chinese national leadership is obviously annoyed by the balloon incident" and feels that the focus has been shifted. time".

The balloon incident is expected to have long-lasting and severe diplomatic ramifications between the United States and China.

Jude Blanchette, Director of China Studies at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), a think tank in Washington DC, pointed out that the balloon incident has severely damaged US-China relations. If the two sides can't find a way to stop losses, "I think this (U.S.-China) relationship is heading into a very, very dark place."