Currently, the scenario of a full-scale invasion of the occupiers on the entire front line, the border with the Russian Federation and Belarus is unlikely.

Army General, head of the Foreign Intelligence Service of Ukraine in 2005-2010 Mykola Malomuzh told about this in an exclusive interview with TSN.ua.

"I think that at the moment this option is unlikely, but we should not rule it out. We need to work out all the scenarios. The fact that in 2-3 weeks the Russian Federation will move in such a huge direction to the entire territory of our state, in particular Kyiv, is unreal," - said Malomuzh.

How many Russian troops are needed for a full-scale offensive

According to him, for an offensive operation, the occupiers need at least 300,000 troops to enter from Belarus or from other regions.

"And further large territories need to be covered with battles - 300-500-700 km. We are ready. Especially from the side of Belarus. If they passed there calmly before, now we have powerful defense there - mine-blocking systems, powerful equipment, artillery. If there are any preparatory measures, we are ready to strike counterattacks and powerful strikes if they enter the territory of our state," Malomuzh said.

The military explained that for a full-scale offensive on the entire front line, as well as from the territory of Belarus and the northeastern direction of Russia, colossal forces are needed - thousands of tanks, missile systems, millions of ammunition, which the Russian Federation does not have today.

"She is trying to prepare. And even they have the prospect of a global expansion of the armed forces by 2026. But this is not months or half a year," he explained.

Belarusians are not ready to fight

According to the former intelligence officer, the Belarusians are not ready themselves, especially their army, which may either fail to complete the task or even return against the Russians.

Therefore, there are risks for both Lukashenka and the Russian Federation.

"I think that they will not risk going that way. Especially since we can see them. As soon as the trains from the Russian Federation arrived in Belarus, we saw how many there were, where they were located, how the preparations were being made, etc.," says the foreign service guide. intelligence

Where the enemy can still advance

According to Malomuzha, in half a year the occupiers in the Southern and Eastern directions will try to powerfully strengthen their units.

"The sooner we get the necessary weapons, equipment and ammunition, this is a prerequisite for destroying the enemy, when he has not yet gathered forces for the second global offensive. We must, before the Russian Federation prepares its main forces, powerfully destroy them and start a counteroffensive operation," he concluded. he.

It was previously reported that Putin ordered the capture of the entire territory of Donetsk and Luhansk regions by March 2023. 

Oleksiy Danilov, Secretary of the NSDC, assured that Ukraine is "very powerfully" preparing for a new Russian offensive.

Read also:

• Ukraine news

• War in Ukraine

• News of Ukraine: video

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