Two years after the coup d'état in Myanmar
from the hands of Senior General Min Aung Hlaing, Commander-in-Chief of the Myanmar Armed Forces
Led the military to seize power of Aung San Suu Kyi's civilian government after the National League for Democracy.
or NLD
Won the election on Sunday, November 8, 2020 in a landslide until he won the majority
Preparing to open the first council meeting within 90 days
amid the smell of the coup
And then it came true
When the army claimed the legitimacy of the coup in the early morning of February 1, 2021, it stated that there was election fraud.
and arrested Aung San Suu Kyi and related politicians
Many others were able to escape.
and later set up a national unity government
come from various ethnicities
to counteract the power of the Myanmar army
The coup led to the declaration of a one-year state of emergency, the appointment of Vice President General Mint Suay.
acting as acting president
Later, the state of emergency was extended to 2 years and 6 months and still caused bloodshed throughout Myanmar.
Dissidents have been arrested, lost their lives, disappeared and displaced.
ACLED data has been monitoring violence in many countries.
The death toll in Myanmar is about 19,000 people.
Two years have passed with the sound of gunfire and explosions.
The fight to suppress dissent
At the border area next to Thailand, there are periodically creating a fear for the Thai people living in the area.
This does not include violent incidents that may not be hidden to the outside world.
and must keep an eye on the Myanmar army's attitude
Will the election be held no later than August 2023 as promised or not?
after issuing new rules to facilitate the Party of Union Unity and Development
who represents the military
but may not be easy
because members of the National League for Democracy
regarded as a fake
and if there is an actual election
will not accept the results of the election
This is consistent with the opinion of "Prof. Emeritus Dr. Chaiwat Khamchu", an academician on international relations.
because of the election management of the Myanmar Army
According to different assumptions, it is believed to create legitimacy for the Myanmar military.
Must comply with the constitution
After declaring the emergency situation ended at the end of the month
Last Jan.
by organizing new elections
Conditions have been placed for the registration of a new party.
There must be at least 100,000 party members and half of the country's party branches.
Causing the opposing party to have problems with readiness
“Elections under the junta cannot be defeated, they must have their own means. But if the election has already been held there is a strangeness Righteousness does not come to the people. being resisted non-stop and not allowing foreigners to observe the election because the rules are unfair to competitors It is based on the assumption that the election is a matter of self-righteousness. and violence will happen again. If it really doesn't solve the problem."
In addition, the 5 consensus of ASEAN
to solve the crisis and end the violence in Myanmar
No action has been taken yet.
cause no credibility
not internationally accepted
and people in the country
Until the international community does not trust that this type of election will solve the conflict in Myanmar.
And the military government of Myanmar has to do more.
for the election results to be fair
2 years since the military coup d'état
Still not internationally recognized and ASEAN did not allow Myanmar representatives to attend the meeting.
because he could not make the international trust
making the election truly unresponsive
that the Myanmar military government is committed to democratic principles
and when in power can do anything
As in the past, I have never been interested in international
Elections may not be held.
and extending the emergency situation further
because they want to seize power in the hands of the military
“I think the Myanmar army is confident that it will come back to power through elections. If he loses his power, he will lose many benefits as a reason for not giving up his power easily. If it is examined later, it will lose benefits. And elections under Myanmar's junta are not guaranteed at all because past behavior is not reliable. not created for people to see in sincerity Be fair to the opposition And when people don't trust already viewed as a bogus election If you want to accept it, you must comply with the law. It shouldn't be tricky."
or as long as political prisoners are still being arrested and imprisoned
will make the electoral competition unfair
and politicians of the National League for Democracy Party
or NLD
It's hard to compete equally.
If going to vote, it should be done honestly.
must stop controlling the media
Stop controlling people's movements.
but can't
because they will be overthrown by people who have been suppressed
making it difficult to get off the back of the tiger
from human rights violations
deal with opponents
And in the end, the Myanmar military government will last a long time.
until the country goes backwards
Make our region a branded country.
The impact on ASEAN's reputation is endless.