This year, who likes the cold?

Probably will experience the cold, winter or winter to the fullest.

even city dwellers

that are rarely touched, it is still arranged below 20 degrees Celsius

The question why this year is "cold for a long time" and will be "cold until when?" Thairath online news team

Invited to answer with

Assoc. Prof. Dr. Seri Suparathit, director of the Center for Climate Change and Disasters.

Rangsit University

explained that

All

this February

temperature in Thailand

Still 1 degree lower than normal, continuing throughout February.

until March

But... the weather is gradually warming up since the end of last year.

But we still got cold air.

The average temperature is expected to be 28-29 degrees, calculated from the lowest temperature of 19 degrees, the highest of 32 degrees.

Why is this year "cold longer" than usual?

Comes from 2 factors


1. It is a transitional period of "La Nina" but still influential


2. Global vortex or Polar Vortex

Assoc. Prof. Dr. Seree explains that

polar vortex is a short-term phenomenon.

During the period that was still in La Niña, it was

During February-March

cause the temperature to be lower than normal

Coinciding with the occurrence of Polar Vortex, which comes for a short time in 1 week, which causes extreme cold phenomena during this period, from 29-31

“Tomorrow, there will be another day of extremely cold weather. After this, the cold will drop below 3-5 degrees again because the Polar Vortex has passed.”

This April, “hot liver is broken”

Climate change experts say that after the cold winds pass.

Entering April

temperature of thailand

will be unusually high

which will continue to rise

It then enters an “El Niño” mode during June or July and enters a “drought”.

Although in early May there will be rain, when the end of the rain will be soft.

and enters a drought

From the forecast in 2025-2026 there will be a severe drought.

The temperature will be higher than normal, the most "hot" period will be in the year 2025, there will be less rain.

What preparations should be made in the agricultural sector? Advice from Assoc. Prof. Dr. Seri:


1. Choose short-lived crops.


2. Use water sparingly


.

therefore have to be prepared to store

Global warming and current problems

Assoc. Prof. Dr. Seree gave information that at present the problem of global warming

Considering that the global warming is 1.1 degrees Celsius, it is expected that within the next 5 years the temperature will increase to 1.5 degrees Celsius and within 20 years, the temperature is expected to increase by 2 degrees Celsius.

“This means that global warming has resulted in the dry season.

There will be a heavier drought. When the rainy season enters, there will be more heavy rain.

But in any year, when encountering "El Niño" or "La Nina" conditions, it will enhance various conditions.

For example, during the “El Niño” year, we will experience drought conditions and less rain. Conversely, during the rainy season, if Climate Change occurs, it will cause very heavy rainfall.

But..if at that time "El Niño" occurs, there will be less rain.

like they were fighting each other.”

global warming problems in Thailand

As for the global warming problem, Assoc.

1. Reducing greenhouse gas emissions: at the stage of COP 27 in Egypt, which the aforementioned meeting

considered to be at risk of failure.

At the World Economic Forum or World Economic Forum 2023 in the middle of the month.

The leaders themselves said

There is the highest risk of failure to negotiate a solution to global warming.

The reason is

The goal of reducing global warming to below 1.5 degrees according to the "Paris Agreement" is called impossible.

Because from the current reports that each country sent to predict, it appears that it may increase to 3 degrees.

To reduce it to 1.5 degrees, what do I have to do...?

Goal 1: To reduce greenhouse gas emissions by half.


Goal 2: In the next 28 years, emissions must reach net zero (Net Zero). 

You will see that only 2 short goals

For example, China, India, Indonesia say their country has coal.

He will use coal.

As a result, the Paris Agreement had to come to an end because it could not continue.

back to Thailand

is considered a country that releases

"Greenhouse gas" is less than 1%, but we say that we will achieve the goal of Net Zero at 2065 on this global scale.

He doesn't care about us.

because we release less than 1%

“Thailand is a country that, on a global scale, they don't care, but vice versa.

Instead, the state is moving forward on this matter.

because he saw that

There is a chance of a trade war. In fact, in this issue, the state should encourage the private sector to do it.

In fact, the state should pay attention to another measure called adaptation, for example, in the next 1-2 years there will be a drought.

In the year 2029-2030 there may be a big flood.

Do you have a response plan?

The government's duty is to provide information to the public.

prepare defense

create an alarm system

So that people can live with "disasters", this is why it is called "adjustment". This is the "flaw" of Thailand that does not do these things.

The question is, why is Thailand like that?

Dr Seri said that in fact, I work on the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has issued recommendations that

Developing countries or non-aligned G77 groups such as Thailand, Myanmar, focus only on “adaptation” in dealing with disasters.

without paying attention to developed countries

"rich country

They are much smarter than developing countries.

Because he can only get with him. In addition, he has a system to prevent various effects.

that might happen

But...we don't have one."

This means that if there is a serious global warming problem

developing countries

will have more serious consequences..

The director of the Center for Climate Change and Disasters, Rangsit University answered simply, "Of course," because there was no adaptation.

Bangkok will drown because the "sea" is high

Dr. Seri said that now what the world is watching about Thailand is that the sea level is high, the area of ​​​​Bangkok will disappear in some parts.

considered true

This issue is something that the government has not talked about for a long time.

“I believe that the next 8 years will be a big deal.

because there will be clearly lost space

Which, according to the forecast, 2050 or the next 28 years, the area will disappear by 6 kilometers.

In the past, we have built a protective dam.

Can it help? Dr. Seree said that building a dam solves the problem of erosion.

But when the sea water is high

will pass through the dam

because the dam has holes

And dams do not protect against high seas.

It shows that in the not so distant future, the people of Bangkok will encounter more severe flooding...?

Dr. Seri said briefly as before, “of course.”

Thai Rath online news team reported

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