An analysis of the previous episode by the US Defense-backed think tank Rand. also concluded on avoiding a long-term war in Ukraine It was also stated that the US government had internal debates. while encouraging Ukraine to take back all of its territories or to settle at the border before the start of the war, 24 Feb.
However, the debate in this case is only a one-dimensional view of the direction of war.
And reclaiming the lost territories is of great importance to Ukraine.
But it's not important to the United States.
because in the end
Avoiding a long-term war would "prevent" the situation from escalating into a NATO-Russian war or the use of nuclear weapons.
Moreover, the US has to carefully manage which lines should be crossed and which should not be crossed.
considered to be self-destructive
The U.S. government had other ways of managing the direction of this war.
that are more efficient and more responsive to the interests of the United States.
At this point, both Russia and Ukraine are pessimistic about negotiations.
and aimed at war to measure victory
but this means
pulling the war to drag on
The Rand suggests four things the US should do to push for a "negotiation": 1. Clarify how the US will support Ukraine in the future;
2. Ensuring that Ukraine will receive security support
3. Recognizing Ukraine's neutral status; and 4. Setting conditions for the release of US sanctions on Russia.
President Joe Biden has said that this war will ultimately end at the negotiating table.
But the U.S. government has shown no signs of pushing for negotiations.
Of course, a sudden reversal of policy
politically impossible
And it's not a smart thing.
because it will affect both internal politics
and international politics
But starting the process as suggested now could allow negotiations to take place within a timeframe that is in favor of the overall US interests, otherwise a long-term war would cause widespread damage to both the United States and the United States. Ukraine and the world community.
Tu Pak Kret