In the 12th month

of the war

, information about a probable 

new offensive by the Russians

is heard more and more frequently from various sources .

According to the estimates of the world and Ukrainian community, it can take place in February-March.

According to

 Oleksandr Kovalenko

, a military-political observer of the "Information Resistance" group, there are currently 4 complex bridgeheads in Ukraine, where the military situation can change any day.

He talked about the most real scenarios of the development of events in a comment for TSN.ua.

"We are talking about the left-bank Kherson region, the Zaporizhia region, the

Donetsk and Luhansk bridgeheads. The Russians are concentrating forces and resources in large numbers," Kovalenko says

. they have more or less working logistics and are able to conduct offensive-assault actions. They are gradually doing this in the direction of Bakhmut, Avdiyivka, trying to move in the direction of Siversk, Vugledar. But there are a large number of defense lines of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, many important heights for conducting artillery fire, which are controlled by the Armed Forces of Ukraine. The Russians, although they have a large concentration of forces and means on this bridgehead, but they are all technically underequipped as of now. That is, there is not a sufficient amount of equipment."

According to Kovalenko, the main component of the enemy is infantry and artillery support.

 "But they are not doing well with artillery due to a shortage of shells," the expert

believes

. then the presence of forces and means that are in Luhansk region and Zaporizhzhia region is more for defense. The problem with artillery is bigger than at the Donetsk bridgehead. If they go on the offensive in Luhansk region or Zaporizhzhia region, they will have enough resources for one and a half to two weeks If this resource is destroyed, they will not be able to hold the defense. They will not be able to block the counteroffensive of the Armed Forces. Therefore, to summarize,

the offensive of the occupiers is more likely on the Donetsk bridgehead

."  

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