Vice President Lai Qingde was elected as the chairman of the Democratic Progressive Party today (15th). Polls show that Lai is expected to become the Democratic Progressive Party's nominee for the 2024 presidential election.

(file photo)

[Instant News/Comprehensive Report] The by-election of the Democratic Progressive Party chairman ended today (15th) evening, and Vice President Lai Qingde was confirmed to be elected as the new chairman.

According to polls conducted by the Taiwan Poll Foundation, Lai Qingde is currently "leading the way" with a high approval rate and is expected to become the nominated candidate for the 2024 presidential election of the Democratic Progressive Party.

The TPOF Taiwan Public Opinion Survey Foundation released a poll report on the 15th, pointing out that the Taiwan Public Opinion Survey Foundation asked the respondents, "This year is the presidential election year. Regarding the Democratic Progressive Party, it is rumored that Lai Qingde, Chen Jianren and Su Zhenchang are all likely to run for the presidency. Nomination. Among these three people, who do you prefer to qualify?" The results showed that Lai Qingde 57.7%, Chen Jianren 16.7%, Su Zhenchang 5.9%, no opinion 17.2%, don't know, refused to answer 2.6%.

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According to the Taiwan Public Opinion Survey Foundation, in the current DPP camp, Lai Qingde is the only leader with 58%, more than half of the support rate, Chen Chien-jen is second with 17%, and Su Zhenchang is in the rear with 5.9%.

The Taiwan Public Opinion Research Foundation revealed that among the three most likely candidates for the Democratic Progressive Party's presidential nomination, Lai Qingde is far ahead of the crowd.

The Taiwan Public Opinion Survey Foundation further analyzed that from another perspective, Lai Qingde is currently far ahead of Chen Jianren and Su Zhenchang. It is understandable because he has been preparing for nearly 4 years, has already had considerable supporters, and has invested in the DPP in the past month The election of the chairman is a one-person election, and one person enjoys the national spotlight exclusively, especially at the bleakest moment after the DPP's defeat, and the DPP's saviour.

As for Chen Jianren and Su Zhenchang, they are both rumored possible candidates and the closest political partners of President Tsai Ing-wen. It is inevitable that they will be dragged down by the sharp decline in President Tsai's personal political reputation.

It is worth noting that Su Zhenchang only received less than 6 percentage points of support, and his popularity and aura were lost. This should be related to the delay in Su's cabinet resignation and reorganization after the defeat of the DPP in 2022.

For this survey, Professor You Yinglong from the Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation was responsible for questionnaire design, report writing, interpretation of research findings, and analysis of relevant public policy and political implications; Shanshui Public Opinion Research Company was entrusted by the Foundation and was mainly responsible for sampling design, telephone interviews and Statistical Analysis.

The visit period is 3 days from January 9 to 11, 2023, and the subjects are adults over the age of 20 nationwide.

There are 1085 effective samples; the sampling error is about plus or minus 2.98 percentage points at the 95% confidence level.

According to a poll conducted by the Taiwan Public Opinion Survey Foundation, Lai Qingde is the only one with 58 percent, more than half of the support.

(The picture is taken from the Taiwan Public Opinion Survey Foundation)