Deptula, the retired former deputy chief of staff of the U.S. Air Force, advocated that the U.S. should continue to list "attacking mainland China" as a possible military option, so as to effectively deter China from using force against Taiwan.

Pictured is a Communist submarine.

(Reuters file photo)

First post 01-11 23:27

Update time 01-12 08:02

[Compilation of Yang Fuyi/Taipei Report] The US Washington think tank "Center for Strategic and International Studies" (CSIS) released the latest war game report on the Taiwan Strait war this week. It simulated 24 kinds of war situations and showed that China's invasion of Taiwan will not succeed in most scenarios. But the United States, China, Taiwan and Japan have come to a painful conclusion.

David A. Deptula, a retired U.S. lieutenant general and former deputy chief of staff of the Air Force, said at a seminar on the report on the 9th that the U.S. should continue to list "attacking mainland China" as a possible military option. Only in this way can China be effectively deterred from using force against Taiwan.

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In the CSIC push report, in order to avoid a "tragic victory" at an extremely high price, it is suggested in terms of politics and strategy that the National Command Authority of the US military should self-contain and release planning to attack China. Take the serious risk of escalating war with nuclear-armed countries (China).

However, "Radio Free Asia (RFA)" reported that Deptula, a retired lieutenant general of the U.S. Air Force and former deputy chief of staff in charge of intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance, believes that the U.S. should continue to regard "attacking mainland China" as a possibility. Only in this way can we effectively deter China and make China dare not use force against Taiwan. "Our strategy to deter China needs to be creative. We must increase China's uncertainty about the military reunification of Taiwan, so that the Beijing authorities choose not to send troops to Taiwan. Therefore, from a deterrence perspective, I think it is unwise to rule out the policy option of 'U.S. attacking China mainland', which should be continuously considered."

Deptula said at a seminar on the CSIS report that although the United States, Japan, and Taiwan can jointly repel China in this war game, after the war, the military and economic advantages of the United States as a world hegemony will no longer exist; Therefore, the United States should continue to increase its strategic deterrence capabilities against China now, so as to ensure that the United States can win a big victory if a war really breaks out.

Mark Cancian, a senior researcher at the U.S. Naval War College and one of the authors of the military push report, emphasized at the seminar that in the 24 scenarios of China’s attack on Taiwan, the U.S., Japan, and Taiwan coalition forces must meet four necessary requirements. to win the war.

Cancien said, first of all, Taiwan must resist. If Taiwan surrenders quickly in the early stage of China's attack, as Denmark and Thailand did during World War II, the United States will have nothing to do even if it wants to reverse the situation; Troops must also be dispatched immediately, otherwise Taiwan’s self-defense front will be breached by China in a short period of time, and the United States will not be able to follow the example of military aid to Ukraine and continue to provide logistical supplies to Taiwan, because China will intercept and plunder any ships approaching Taiwan. The slower the defense against Taiwan, the greater the number of casualties in the final war, and the greater the possibility of China's victory."

Kancion pointed out that thirdly, the United States must deploy strategic operations from US military bases in Japan. This requires prior consultation. If Tokyo does not agree, the US military can only start from US territory. Such a force configuration will not be enough to defend the Taiwan government. autonomy; finally, the United States would need to deploy numerous anti-ship missiles, which would make the war more favorable to the United States and reduce American casualties.

Regarding Taiwan, William S. Murray, a professor at the U.S. Naval War College, pointed out at the meeting that Taiwan also needs to strengthen the cultivation of asymmetric force, and it should be like a porcupine, making it difficult for China to easily capture and retreat. " Taiwan needs asymmetric combat power, and the definition of asymmetric combat power is weapons that are small in size, large in number, easy to move, and deadly.” And these asymmetric weapons can help Taiwan drive away PLA ships and military planes that intend to land on the island, and prevent the PLA from controlling Taiwan's airspace.

In order to avoid a costly "tragedy victory", the CSIS soldier pushes another suggestion in terms of politics and strategy that Taiwan's air force and naval forces should turn to "asymmetric" operations; and that despite calls for Taiwan to adopt a "porcupine strategy", Taiwan's current defense budget is still spent on expensive ships and military aircraft that China can destroy very quickly.