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"The probability of a cabinet with the third term is zero - it's about 10%. Even before the first term was handed out, all the comments were what will happen to the third term, as if the first and second seemed doomed. The chances that this National Assembly will broadcast cabinet, which is a pity, because in a situation of such unprecedented crises, for Bulgaria to be without a regular government for so long, speaks of a rather serious crisis of the political system".

Boryana Dimitrova, manager of the sociological agency "Alfa Research", commented this to BNR. 

According to her, there is nothing in the behavior of the political actors to suggest that a government can be formed:

"Therefore, my assessment is that it is almost impossible for this parliament to produce a regular government. ... Regardless of which party will be handed the mandate, the chances of a cabinet would not be high".

Hristo Ivanov: DB will not commit to power without constitutional reform

All parties are playing "Black Peter", they are careful that "this card" does not remain in them, commented Dimitrova and added: "We are observing a virtuosity in the exercise of depending on someone else what will happen. ... The parties are practicing a strategy, which should acquit them of the fact that no government has been formed".

The sociologist predicts that Rumen Radev will hand over the third exploratory mandate to the BSP or to "Bulgarian Rise":

"These parties would at least create problems for the political strategy and presence of the president in the political map of Bulgaria".

According to Boryana Dimitrova, all parties are already seriously calculating what their strategy would be for the upcoming local elections in the fall, which are very important to them.

"Local elections can be the key to start rearranging the political puzzle. That is, changes should come not from national elections, but from the local ones". 

According to her, early elections are coming at the end of March or the beginning of April, with a very high degree of probability and the next parliament will have little chance of a government:

"It is very likely that we will have another election around or after the local elections, which will be based on the possibly redrawn political map of Bulgaria," predicted Dimitrova.

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