Media person Huang Yangming analyzed that although Wu Yinong lost in the legislator by-election this time, the election was not bad, and he was almost sure to qualify for the rematch against Wang Hongwei in 2024.

(Photographed by reporter Fang Bin)

[Instant News/Comprehensive Report] The results of the by-election for the legislators of Taipei's third constituency (Zhongshan and Beisongshan) were announced. KMT candidate Wang Hongwei won, while DPP Wu Yinong narrowly lost.

Media person Huang Yangming analyzed this, "It is not surprising that Wang Hongwei won the election, but Wu Yinong's election is not bad, setting a record for the green camp in the district, and he is almost sure to be qualified to fight Wang Hongwei again in 2024. It is difficult to estimate who will win and who will lose .”

Huang Yangming said on Facebook that in this by-election of legislators, Wang Hongwei has a large lead of 6,624 votes in Songshan District, and maintaining the advantage is the key to the victory of the Blue Army.

However, Wu Yinong won 47.27% of the votes in this by-election, and once again refreshed his record of 45.40% for the green camp in the 2020 legislative election campaign.

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According to Huang Yangming's analysis, the result of this election is not surprising, and it can be interpreted as a showdown of the basics.

Before the closure of the green camp, the polls said that they were behind by 1.9%, which is not far behind. During the closure of the blue camp, the internal polls were about 5% ahead, which is quite accurate.

Even though the turnout rate of the by-election is difficult to estimate, based on voting momentum, Chen Shizhong won 59,442 votes in this district in the nine-in-one election last year, which is not far behind Wu Yinong's votes; Jiang Wanan won 81,107 votes in this district , it can be seen that the green camp supporters have a strong voting momentum this time.

Huang Yangming believes that the more important political effect is, after the defeat of the DPP in the 9-in-1, Chiayi mayor, and this by-election, will Dean Su Zhenchang be able to continue in the face of the upcoming cabinet reshuffle?

Is there any way for Wang Hongwei to question Su Zhenchang in Congress as she wishes?

And after a while, will the Mayor of New Taipei City, Hou Youyi, be freed from the challenge of being labeled a "runaway" by 2024?

All are worthy of continued attention.

Going back to the election results, Huang Yangming mentioned that Wu Yinong's election was not bad, and he was almost qualified to fight Wang Hongwei again in 2024. If Wu Yinong continues to take root and serve, it is difficult to predict who will win and who will lose when he faces Wang Hongwei at this time next year.

However, whether the DPP can get rid of the negative haze of black money and public works contracting during this period, and whether the third force will participate in the war, may be the key to victory in 2024.