Fuel, eggs, bread, vegetables or meat?

What goods will increase in price the most in the new year?

And what will happen to the hryvnia exchange rate and utility tariffs?

The government predicts that price growth in 2023 will hardly slow down, and inflation will reach 28% at the end of the year.

What will primarily push prices up, how the war affects them and whether experts agree with the gloomy forecast of the Cabinet of Ministers,

correspondent Maria Vasilieva told on the air of the telethon.

So, it is noted that

.

It traditionally begins to grow seasonally from October.

And there are traditionally large fluctuations at the beginning of spring of the vegetable group, because the harvested crop ends and we move on to the new year's crop, which is much more expensive.

A fairly large share of vegetables from greenhouses, and in the conditions of today's supply, these will be absolutely prohibitive expenses.

Because a kilowatt hour taken from the generator is 5-6 times more expensive than from the network. 

At the same time, the increase in the price of

, but at a certain moment it will reach its ceiling.

This ceiling will be determined by the purchasing power of Ukrainians and the cost of imports that can replace expensive Ukrainian products.

For example, fish, which rose in price by 40% during the year, has actually reached its price limit.

Just like the eggs that turned golden in autumn.

You can bet 100 hryvnias on an egg, but who will buy it for you at such a price?

Therefore, manufacturers will look for some compromises with the market, will look for opportunities to fit into the purchasing power of Ukrainians.

The ceiling, which is objective today, is the price of imported goods multiplied by the current exchange rate.

If your cost price and price are significantly higher than this price, you will not buy your product despite all your patriotic feelings.

So, we have already formed a ceiling for most products.

The agro-industrial infrastructure destroyed by Russia will also play in favor of imports.

Four and a half million chickens died only at the Chornobayiv Poultry Factory, which was destroyed by the Russians.

Because of this, the most popular types of protein in Ukraine -

.

Eggs may become cheaper in the spring

, experts predict.

.

These products can add about 30% to the price.

How quickly prices will rise also depends on the exchange rate

.

The government believes that the average annual exchange rate of the dollar will be around 42 hryvnias.

It was on this forecast that the budget was calculated.

However, some experts believe that the

.

The expert considers the 28% inflation expected by the government to be too pessimistic a forecast

.

After all, the economy has already adapted to existence in the conditions of war.

Fuel market experts are also moderately optimistic.

After Russia destroyed domestic oil refineries and oil depots, market operators in a matter of months managed to find and bring in the necessary volumes of imported fuel, even with a reserve.

However,

.

The prices for the utility

company are subject to minor changes so far.

The authorities imposed a moratorium on the increase of basic tariffs - gas, heat and hot water until the end of the war.

Electricity for household consumers will probably not become more expensive at least until the end of winter.

Instead, the price for it will increase for the industry.

But

.

The tariff increase is planned in two stages - from January 1 and from July 1.

An exception was made for three regions that were most affected by the war.

In the Kharkiv, Mykolaiv and Kherson regions, water tariffs will not be raised. 

We will remind that in the budget for 2023 the average annual exchange rate of the dollar is fixed at the level of 42.2 hryvnias/dollar, and by the end of next year it will be 45.8 hryvnias per dollar.

At the same time, the 

that the exchange rate in Ukraine currently no longer reacts to the shelling of the Russian Federation, and also emphasized that its fluctuations during the year will be insignificant.

Read also:

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