Military expert Serhii Grabskyi is sure that Russia is preparing for revenge and may launch a major offensive in the winter-spring of 2023.

In this context, he considers the direction of Belarus quite a priority

He told about this on the air of the TV channel "Freedom" on Friday, December 16. 

"Mobilization in Russia has taken place. If during the first wave, thousands of soldiers were immediately thrown into battle without preparation.

Their task was to restrain the advance of the Ukrainian military

, but at the same time, the enemy is building up its forces and creating its typical army, namely, a mobilized one, which has always been the basis for the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation. The enemy is certainly preparing for revenge and the tasks of those troops that hold back the advance of our army," he is sure.

According to Grabskyi, the Belarusian troops will play their game - it is to divert the attention of the Ukrainian army from the events at the front. 

"There is no doubt that even 200,000 will not be enough for an attack on Kyiv. The Belarusian military will play - to distract the attention of the Defense Forces. In fact,

the Belarusian corps of occupation troops is already participating in the war.

It is not a ground force yet, but it is involved in the war," the expert noted. .

He suggests that a potential offensive by the Russian army may take place

in April.

The expert is considering such an option.

"As for the time parameters. Here everything depends on the extent to which we accept the time indicators of preparation. It is necessary to understand that for the normal mobilization of military units

it takes at least 3 months

and. Thus, if we say October-January is this period when it is possible talk about possible provocations. We can also talk about February-March. But here it depends on how much the enemy wants to create really striking units, and this requires more time to organize interaction between different types of armed forces and between separate military units within the same military unit. This also takes time. That's why there is a difference in timing. It all depends on how politically mature the new offensive of the Russian troops will be. I'm more inclined to April," he believes.

We will remind you that Biden is confident that Ukraine has the potential to return Crimea, but there is a nuance.

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