Today, Russian troops cannot take any offensive actions, but everything depends on the situation at the front and whether there will be a pause in the winter.

Oleksandr Kovalenko, a military-political commentator of the "Information Resistance" group, told about this in an interview with TSN.ua. 

He noted that the occupiers have neither the motivation nor the resources to re-offend.

"They have no motivation. But if we are talking about offensive actions, everything depends on what the situation will be in the war zone and whether there will be a pause during the winter period.

to accumulate resources that are critically lacking for offensives actions. They cannot carry out any full-scale offensive actions at the moment: along the entire front line or to capture locations, regions, etc.

For example, what is happening near Bakhmut. Already more than half year, by the way. This is a demonstration of their potential," Kovalenko explained.

The expert reminded that in recent months the Russian army lost kilometers of captured territories in the Kharkiv and Kherson regions.  

"Now they are losing the initiative at the Luhansk bridgehead, the location of Svatove-Kreminna. They are also gradually

at the Zaporozhye bridgehead. And there may be a lot of interesting things happening there in the near future. If they cannot maintain defense at the mentioned locations, what kind of offensive can it be about?

. But this is not about full-fledged occupation actions," the observer emphasized.

What is known about the possible offensive of the Russian Federation

It will be recalled that the day before, the head of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Dmytro Kuleba, suggested that the occupiers may launch a new major offensive against Ukraine at the end of January-February 2023, in order to advance deep into its territory.

At the same time, the minister assured that everything is being done to prevent this from happening.

According to the assessment of the advisor of the President's Office, Oleksiy Arestovych, the Russian army may go on a major offensive in the period from mid-December to the end of February, in order to show some results of the war.

Military expert Serhii Grabskyi said that the Russian Federation is undoubtedly preparing a new major offensive, but it is unlikely to take place in January-February 2023.

The expert bets on April - when the level of readiness of Russian troops will be much higher.

Read also:

• The threat of an attack from Belarus: the expert explained whether Ukraine has enough strength to defend itself

• Will there be a massive missile attack on the New Year: a military expert predicted new attacks 

• If Putin dies: Arestovych told when to wait for the cessation of hostilities

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