According to the epidemic monitoring of the command center, China's epidemic prevention policy has changed significantly. If the containment force is greatly reduced, the possibility of continued spread of the epidemic will greatly increase, which is worthy of attention.

The picture shows Shanghai citizens queuing up for nucleic acid testing.

(Bloomberg)

[Reporter Lin Huiqin/Taipei Report] Minister of Health and Welfare Xue Ruiyuan recently emphasized that "the next focus of epidemic prevention will be on monitoring the epidemic situation in China." Wang Bisheng, commander of the Central Epidemic Command Center, said yesterday that after the "blank paper revolution", China's containment forces should increase With the high contagiousness of Omicron, the possibility of the spread of the epidemic is greatly increased. It is judged that the local area will face five major challenges, and remind Chinese people in China to implement vaccination and other measures.

"According to the epidemic monitoring of the command center, the epidemic situation in China has continued to heat up recently, which is worthy of attention!" Wang Bisheng pointed out that Omicron mutant strains are highly infectious, and the BF.7 and BA.5.2 mutant strains that are currently prevalent in China are even more infectious. Despite China's strict lockdown, it is difficult to eradicate the epidemic. What's more, after the "blank paper", the epidemic prevention policy has changed significantly. If the lockdown force is greatly reduced, the possibility of continued spread of the epidemic will greatly increase.

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Initial cases mostly grow exponentially

Wang Bisheng pointed out that according to the experience of various countries, the increase rate of cases in the early stage of the epidemic is mostly exponential and rapid, and China will face severe challenges.

First of all, this will be the first wave of truly nationwide epidemics that China has encountered, and the first wave of epidemics will hit the most vulnerable groups, including the super-elderly, those with severe comorbidities, those who have not been vaccinated at all, and residents of long-term care institutions. cause serious injury.

Secondly, in terms of immunity, the proportion of China's currently diagnosed population is extremely low, so it can be said that there is no natural immune protection. China has a variety of self-made vaccines, but the protective effect may not be ideal, and the overall vaccination coverage, especially for the elderly, is far from There is still a considerable distance to expected standards.

The amount of medical resources will be impacted

Thirdly, in terms of treatment, the preparation status of various effective antiviral drugs is unknown, but it should be very difficult to estimate based on the huge population.

The amount and distribution of medical resources in the vast country should be problematic, especially in the face of the rapidly increasing national medical needs in the short term, which will be a very core and difficult situation.

Wang Bisheng also emphasized that if the epidemic starts to spread at this moment, it is expected to reach its peak in about two months. In addition to the cold winter, it will also encounter challenges such as returning home during the Lunar New Year, Spring Festival travel, and gatherings. It can be said to be "the worst point in time".

Finally, even though Omicron’s serious illness and fatality rate are not high, the absolute number of casualties caused by the above-mentioned factors and China is one of the most populous countries in the world will be worrying.

Chinese in China should get vaccinated as soon as possible

Wang Bisheng pointed out that he hopes that the Chinese people will successfully overcome the difficult challenge of the epidemic with minimal damage, and reminds Chinese people in China to get vaccinated as soon as possible, especially the elderly and those with serious diseases, and pay attention to the protection of the young and old.

If you have long-term medical needs, you can evaluate the local epidemic situation and consider returning to your country in advance to avoid medical exclusion caused by the epidemic and delay in diagnosis and treatment.

If you plan to go to China, be sure to get the next-generation vaccine before you go.

China's epidemic may face 5 major challenges