Wang Bisheng, the commander of the command center, analyzed that the possibility of the continuous spread of the epidemic in China has greatly increased, and the local area will face five major challenges.

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[Reporter Lin Huiqin/Report from Taipei] The outbreak of pneumonia (new coronavirus disease, COVID-19) in Wuhan, China is heating up. Wang Bisheng, commander of my country's Central Epidemic Command Center, said that Omicron is highly contagious. It is also difficult to clear. After the "blank paper revolution", the power of containment and control should be greatly reduced, and the possibility of continuous spread of the epidemic will increase greatly. The local area will face 5 major challenges, and remind Chinese people in China to implement epidemic prevention measures such as vaccination .

"According to the epidemic monitoring of the command center, the epidemic situation in China has continued to heat up recently, which is worthy of attention!" Wang Bisheng pointed out that Omicron mutant strains are highly contagious, and the BF.7 and BA.5.2 mutant strains currently prevalent in China are even more contagious. In addition, even under China's strict lockdown, it is difficult to clear the epidemic situation, not to mention that after the "blank paper", the entire epidemic prevention policy has changed significantly, and the containment force should be greatly reduced, so the possibility of continued spread of the epidemic Sex will increase dramatically.

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Wang Bisheng pointed out that according to the experience of various countries, the increase rate of cases in the early stage of the epidemic is mostly exponential. The analysis of China will face many severe challenges in the face of the spread of the epidemic, which can be divided into five parts.

First of all, this will be the first wave of truly nationwide epidemics encountered in China, and the first wave of epidemics will hit the most vulnerable groups, including the super-elderly, those with severe comorbidities, those who have not been vaccinated at all, and residents of long-term care institutions.. . etc., will cause serious injury.

Secondly, in terms of immunity, the proportion of China's currently diagnosed population is extremely low, and natural immunity protection can be said to be non-existent.

In addition, although China has a variety of self-made vaccines, the protective effect may not be ideal, and the overall vaccination coverage, especially for the elderly, is still far from the expected standard.

Thirdly, in terms of treatment, the preparation status of various effective antiviral drugs is unknown, but it should be very difficult to estimate based on the huge population.

As for the amount of medical resources, there should be problems of quantity and distribution in their vast territory, especially in the face of the rapidly increasing national medical needs in the short term, which will be a very core and difficult situation.

Also, if the epidemic starts to spread at this moment, it is expected that the date will reach its peak in two months. In addition to the cold winter, it will also encounter the challenges of returning home during the Lunar New Year, Spring Festival travel, and gatherings. It can be said that it is the least good timing.

Finally, even though Omicron's severe disease and fatality rate is not high, but under the aforementioned factors, and China is one of the most populous countries in the world, the absolute number of casualties will be very worrying.

Wang Bisheng mentioned that based on these factors, he believes that China has its reasons for implementing the world's strictest epidemic control, mainly to delay the "change".

It is true that such a strategy has successfully avoided mutant strains such as Alpha and Delta that cause severe disease and have a much higher fatality rate. It has paid a high price both economically and in the hearts of the people.

From the perspective of epidemic prevention and doctors, I sincerely hope that the Chinese people can successfully overcome this difficult epidemic challenge with minimal damage.

Wang Bisheng also reminded that for Chinese working, studying or living in China, it is recommended to get vaccinated as soon as possible, especially the elderly and those with serious diseases.

In addition, special attention should be paid to the protection of the elderly and young children.

For those who have long-term medical needs, it is recommended to assess the local epidemic situation and consider returning to the country in advance to avoid delays in diagnosis and treatment due to medical exclusion caused by the epidemic.

As for Chinese nationals who are about to or plan to go to China, Wang Bisheng emphasized that they must prepare the next-generation vaccine before leaving. At the same time, they should also keep an eye on the development of the local epidemic situation and consider the timing of departure according to their own conditions.

As for the judgment of the epidemic situation in China, because their statistical methods are not easy to understand, it is recommended to observe the use of medical institutions there, and pay attention to the proportion of confirmed cases of people around, as a reference for research and judgment.