Public talk of an assassination attempt on Alexander Lukashenko may be aimed at pushing the self-proclaimed president of Belarus to more actively comply with the Kremlin's orders.

This opinion was expressed by political scientist Oleksandr Antoniuk on the air of Channel 24, commenting on the report by analysts of the Robert Lansing Institute (RLI) that the Kremlin has already decided to eliminate Lukashenka. 

"I'm more likely to believe this story than not," the expert noted.

Antoniuk suggested that these public conversations could be a warning to Lukashenka himself, so that "he stops twisting and trying to fulfill the orders of the Kremlin."

If the self-proclaimed president of Belarus shows stubbornness, then after his elimination, the Kremlin authorities, with the help of his protege, can gain control over the Belarusian army and use it in the war against Ukraine. 

According to Antoniuk, there is no high support for participation in the war in Belarus, but there is a certain number of security forces who will follow Moscow's instructions. 

The political scientist noted that the satellite country is already under the leadership of the Kremlin, so little will change in its functions after liquidation.

But Moscow will need to demonstrate the appearance of the rightful succession of power, "the process of some kind of election."

"If we are talking about joining Belarus, then formally there must be a head of the country. A person with a Belarusian passport. Otherwise, it will be considered an unequivocal occupation and there is no difference whether Lukashenko is alive," Antonyuk added.

Talks about the possible elimination of Lukashenka took on a particularly disturbing meaning after the sudden death on November 26 of the Minister of Foreign Affairs of Belarus, Volodymyr Makei, who was a confidant of the Belarusian dictator and helped him maneuver between Russia and the West.

It will be recalled that, according to RLI, Russian military intelligence may try to develop a scenario in the coming days that involves either an attempt on Alexander Lukashenko or an imitation of him.

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