Ukrainians should not expect that Russian missiles will run out completely.
Russia can still produce a certain nomenclature.
And the one that can't - yes, they are ending and it is even possible that they have already ended.
Military expert Oleksandr Kovalenko wrote about this in Telegram.
According to Kovalenko, the concept of "running out" is rather paradoxical, because the Russian occupation forces (ROV - ed.) have renewable and non-renewable missile weapons.
"Renewable is the kind of missile weapons that Russia can produce, albeit with difficulties," says Kovalenko.
According to the expert, the recoverable missiles include: Kh-101, KR "Kalibr", Kh-59, 9M723 and 9M728.
"In general, those whose production was established or supported during the period of the Russian Federation. But, during this period, they were intensively modernized and created using foreign components, in particular, microcircuits, microchips, semiconductors, etc. And now, in the era of sanctions, there are no such supplies ", the expert noted.
But, for example, now Russia cannot produce Kh-47m "Kinzhal" missiles at all, since they contain more than 130 foreign components.
Mainly - electronics.
Most of these components were supplied to Russia by the world leader in integrated circuits from the USA - Analog Device.
Without American microcircuits, the production of "Daggers" in Russia is impossible, says Kovalenko.
As for the production of KR "Kalibr", Kh-101, Kh-59, in the conditions of sanctions, missile manufacturers relied on their stocks in the first months of the war, but the stocks began to run out and now the only hope is smuggling.
"Smuggled deliveries are rare and do not ensure the production of the necessary number of spare parts and microcircuits. According to the available information, the connecting link in this smuggling is Tajikistan, as well as Iran, which receives microcircuits from China. That is, Russia can produce the above-mentioned missiles, but with pauses in production and artificially. In the conditions of a full-scale war, Russia needs a dozen of these types of missiles per day, the real production potential is 2-3 missiles per week if all the necessary components are available," Kovalenko explained.
According to a military expert, there is another problem with the use and accumulation of missiles by Russia - this is removing them from storage and sending them to launch sites.
"After storage, most of the time, each missile requires technical maintenance, at least, and not infrequently, repair is time. Then delivery, which also takes a certain time. That is, Russia can now attack Ukraine not with a hundred missiles every day, but with 2-3 thousand per month, and several dozen with a frequency of approximately 2-3 weeks," he notes.
Kovalenko adds that non-renewable is missile weapons, which Russia inherited from the USSR and which it is unable to produce.
These are, for example, Kh-22 missiles.
Technically and technologically, the Russians cannot restore the production lines of these missiles.
"That is, these are exactly the kind of missile weapons that really run out completely and at some point they will not exist at all. To say nothing more - they have already run out. This is roughly the situation with missiles that run out, under a number of names, and will never run out , as there is their production, but it is very problematic," the expert noted.
We will remind you that on November 23, Russia launched another missile attack on the critical infrastructure of Ukraine, some of the missiles hit residential buildings.
The attack by the occupiers killed at least 10 people and injured at least 50.
In total, the Russians hit 16 infrastructure objects with missiles, as a result of which a number of regions of Ukraine were left without electricity, water and heating.
Due to Russian shelling in Ukraine, units at the Rivne, South Ukrainian and Khmelnytsky NPPs were disconnected from the power system.
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