Analysts of the American Institute for the Study of War believe that the participation of Belarus in the
against Ukraine is unlikely.
This is stated in the report of the American Institute for the Study of War today, November 3.
Experts recalled that the Minister of Defense of Belarus Viktor Khrenin announced on November 2 that Russia and Belarus held an annual meeting of the Joint Board of the Ministry of Defense with the aim of strengthening the "joint military potential" of the Union State of Russia and Belarus to counter "challenges and threats of a military nature" from NATO .
"Khrenin's statement is probably designed to demonstrate Belarus' loyalty to Russia and to present an image of Belarusian-Russian military unity to the West. As previously assessed by ISW, Belarus' entry into the war remains unlikely due to the many domestic consequences such actions will have for the regime of President Alexander Lukashenko, as well as due to the limited military capabilities of Belarus," the experts noted.
Joint grouping of the troops of the Russian Federation and Belarus
Russian President Vladimir Putin and self-proclaimed leader of Belarus Alexander Lukashenko agreed on the deployment of a
joint regional group of troops.
Lukashenko declared a military threat to his country and accused Ukraine of preparing an offensive.
Lukashenko also stated that the West is allegedly considering
"options of possible aggression against Belarus"
, including the use of nuclear weapons.
After that, the head of the Ministry of Defense of Belarus, Viktor Khrenin, recorded a video message in which he assured that his country
does not want to fight "either with Lithuanians, nor with Poles, nor even more so with Ukrainians."
Later, Russia began transferring
military aircraft and helicopters
to Belarus for the regional grouping of troops.
The United Forces of the Armed Forces noted that Ukraine is constantly preparing for a possible attack by Belarus.
about 50-70 thousand military personnel are needed to attack Ukraine from Belarus.
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