In order to attack Ukraine from Belarus, Russia needs to create a group of 100,000 soldiers with equipment.

Today, the Russian Federation does not have the appropriate resources, so

.

Military analyst from Belarus Oleksandr Alesin told about this on the air of "Apostrof TV".

He noted that in order to attack and defeat the strong Ukrainian army, a very powerful shock fist is needed on the territory of Belarus. 

"I believe that at least one hundred thousand military personnel and the corresponding amount of equipment are needed: tanks, armored fighting vehicles, artillery installations, and more.

, and it will not be easy to gather it, because the Russian army is experiencing a shortage of soldiers and a shortage military equipment," Alesin said. 

According to his forecasts, such a powerful group will not appear in Belarus in the next three to five months, because Russia will lack strength.

The analyst also drew attention to the words of Russian Colonel-General Andriy Kartapolov, who currently heads the State Duma's Defense Committee.

He said that the 

in the West - Poland and the Baltic states

"These are his words, but I think there is truth in these words and there will be no conflict on the border between Belarus and Ukraine yet," Alesin explained. 

However, he did warn about the danger of creating a group in Belarus.

According to the analyst's assessment, the Russian Federation

from the Eastern Front to the Belarusian border with such actions. 

"Activation of Russian troops in Ukraine is possible, so they want to withdraw as many troops as possible to the border with Belarus to reduce their number opposing Russian troops. Therefore, this deployment of the group in Belarus is a diversionary maneuver," the military analyst explained.

Threat of attack from Belarus

The Russians will be ready to attack from Belarus when they gather a group of 50,000-70,000 troops there.

So far, this is not the case, said Yevgeny Silkin, assistant commander of the Joint Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine for strategic communications.

Russia has sent fighter-interceptors capable of carrying Dagger missiles to Belarus, British intelligence reported.

They believe that in this way the Russian Federation is sending a signal to the West and increasingly involving Belarus in the war.

According to Russian oppositionist and lawyer Mark Feigin, Russian or Russian-Belarusian troops may try to enter Ukraine from the north.

However, it will not be an attack on Kyiv, but perhaps on Lviv - in order to cut off the supply routes of weapons.

The threat of a Russian attack on Ukraine from the territory of Belarus may be fake, because today the aggressor country exports military equipment from Belarus, and does not import it into the country.

This assessment was given by the analyst of the Belarusian Institute of Strategic Studies, Vadym Mozheyko.

Read also:

• A possible attack on Kyiv: the General Staff spoke about the threat of invasion and the readiness of the Armed Forces

• Russia and Belarus have started preparations for the joint exercises "Shield of the Union-2023" - Ministry of Defense of the Republic of Belarus

• Belarus is preparing for an "attack" on Poland

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