At the "2022 Taipei Security Dialogue" seminar of the National Defense Security Research Institute, Chairman Huo Shouye of the National Defense Security Research Institute and Vice Chairman of the Mainland Affairs Council Qiu Chui delivered speeches at the meeting, and took a group photo with all foreign guests on the stage.

(Photo by reporter Tian Yuhua)

[Reporter Lu Yixuan/Taipei Report] Co-aircraft harassment of Taiwan across the strait center line has become the new normal. Ivan Kanapathy, former senior deputy director of Asian affairs at the National Security Council, said today that the concept of the strait center line or Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ) is a Cold War The legacy does not exist in today's international norms. Instead of tweeting and promoting China's intrusion into Taiwan's ADIZ and crossing the median line, Taiwan should let the public know the location of the territorial waters and the contiguous zone, and focus defense on its own sovereign territory. , think about the overall national defense situation, and develop asymmetric combat power.

Jian Yirong, currently a researcher at the Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessment (CSBA), attended the "2022 Taipei Security Dialogue" organized by the National Defense Security Research Institute today.

Jian Yirong mentioned that in the past 20 years, the number of surface combat ships of the Chinese People's Liberation Army has increased by nearly 100 times, and the number of fourth-generation aircraft has also increased by 10 times. The military projection power has made great progress, and more military exercises will inevitably be carried out. The United States, Taiwan or Japan must be aware of this situation. , and drills must also be conducted around the territorial waters.

He further warned that the frequency and intensity of China's military operations are increasing, and it is conceivable that Beijing will be more and more willing to take high-risk actions because he has the upper hand. "Any escalation of conflict at sea is good for China, not good for Taiwan." .

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Jane took the 2001 US-China plane collision in the South China Sea as an example. It doesn't matter how the incident happened. Even if it wasn't the fault of the US pilots, some concessions had to be made in order to reduce tensions. Even the recent incident at the British consulate in Manchester, it was obvious who it was. Provoking conflict, but China doesn't care.

If something happens in the Taiwan Strait, China will definitely blame Taiwan and use this to escalate the conflict and force Taiwan to make concessions. "This is an unbalanced relationship that we must understand."

Regarding the fact that the PLA's crossing of the center line has become the norm, Jian Yirong said that in terms of international rules, Taiwan's so-called air defense identification zone or the center line of the strait is only a relic of the Cold War period, and the situation is different today.

For example, the United States has an air defense identification zone in Alaska, but the United States will not issue a statement if the Russian plane’s overflight is not considered a provocation; another example is the People’s Liberation Army’s naval patrols often enter Japan’s territorial waters, and Japan will only announce it when it enters the contiguous zone; South Korea and China used to have a middle line, and now China crosses it every now and then, and South Korea doesn't tweet about it.

Jian Yirong believes that Taiwan's Ministry of Defense deliberately highlights that China's overflight of Taiwan's air defense identification zone is an exceptional practice. Why other countries do not do this should be explored and what are the benefits of not doing so.

Jian Yirong suggested that in the face of undeniable political and military realities, Taiwan should not try to restore the norms of decades ago. Instead of promoting China's intrusion into Taiwan's ADIZ and crossing the median line, Taiwan should make its people aware of the location of its territorial waters and contiguous zones, knowing 12 The position of the boundary between nautical miles and 24 nautical miles.

And fundamentally restructure the force to deter enemy incursions and protect Taiwan from aggression in a cost-effective and resilient manner.

Jian Yirong emphasized that China's military budget dwarfs Taiwan's. To challenge each warship or aircraft will only waste resources. To free up resources, the pursuit of traditional military power should be reduced.

As a defender against Chinese aggression, Taiwan should focus its defense on its own sovereign territory, consider the overall national defense posture, and develop asymmetric combat power.

The concept of asymmetry also applies to grey areas, including possible blockades and embargoes.

The National Defense Security Institute held a physical meeting of the "2022 Taipei Security Dialogue" in Taipei today.

(Photo by reporter Lu Yixuan)