Akio Yaita, a senior Japanese media person, believes that the Taiwan Strait war has become a war for Xi Jinping alone. Whether or not to play it all depends on Xi Jinping, and he also pointed out what the Taiwanese should do now.

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[Instant News/Comprehensive Report] The 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China came to an end, and the re-elected General Secretary Xi Jinping emphasized that he would not give up military control of Taiwan.

In this regard, Japanese senior media person Akio Yaita analyzed that the war in the Taiwan Strait has become a war for Xi Jinping alone. Whether or not to play with Xi Jinping's mood, he also pointed out that what the Taiwanese should do now is to express to the international community and China " I will never yield" to win the support of the international community and let Xi Jinping know the cost of attacking Taiwan.

Akio Yaita said in a Facebook post that after Xi Jinping purged all reformists and international coordinators from the party at the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, the Taiwan Strait war has become a war for Xi Jinping alone. It is difficult to analyze it from the outside. Moreover, when a group of minions gather around the dictator who can only figure out what he likes, the person in power can often only get access to the information he wants to see. Therefore, "it cannot be ruled out that he may make major Strategic misjudgment, waging a war with no chance of winning."

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Akio Yaita said that whether China wants to reunite Taiwan by force can be summed up in 12 words - "strong motivation, lack of ability, and serious consequences". For more than 70 years since the separation of the two sides of the Taiwan Strait, China's successive leaders must have made many assessments, and in the end they all He came to the conclusion that "fighting Taiwan is not worth the loss", so he did not use force, and he believes that in the next 5 to 10 years, before Xi Jinping turns 80, this situation will not change much.

Yaita Akio analyzed that the Chinese army has not yet been able to transport hundreds of thousands of troops across the sea in a short period of time, and rush to the beach under the fierce resistance of the Taiwan army. Even if a small part of the landing, there will be serious problems in the supply, and as the time of the war stretches In the long run, China will be severely sanctioned by the international community, which will be a disaster for China's economy.

Akio Yaita believes that what Taiwan needs to do now is to express a clear will to the international community and China to "never give in" to win the support of the international community and to let Xi Jinping know the risks and costs of attacking Taiwan. He also mentioned that now Some people in Taiwan use the slogan of "love peace, oppose war" and call for a compromise with China, but this is very likely to cause Xi Jinping to make a strategic misjudgment, "It's not that Taiwan is taking the initiative to attack China, I really don't see the meaning of Taiwan's anti-war. ".