The next trend of Kaohsiung mayor by-election

[Reporter Lin Liangsheng/Taipei Report] The Kuomintang recruited former legislator Ke Zhien to challenge Kaohsiung Mayor Chen Qimai, who is seeking re-election, and launched a large-scale campaign to raise his momentum.

According to this newspaper's poll, Chen Qimai's support is still far ahead of Ke. Further cross-analysis shows that more than 90% of pan-green supporters support Chen Qimai, while the number of voters who voted for Chen Qimai in the last Kaohsiung mayoral by-election was as high as 81.

17% are willing to continue to support Chen's re-election; Ke is supported by 87% of the pan-Blue voters.

More than 80% of by-election votes support re-election

The latest poll by this newspaper shows that in the Kaohsiung mayoral election at the end of the year, Chen Qimai's support is 52.

○1%, Ke Zhien 20.

Three percent, the gap between the two sides is thirty-one.

Seventy-one percentage points, the other two candidates without party membership, Zheng Yuxiang and Zeng Yinli, have one support respectively.

12% and 2.

Fifteen percent, and another twenty-four.

Forty-two percent are undecided.

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According to cross analysis, the number of voters who voted for Chen Qimai in the last Kaohsiung mayoral by-election was as high as 81.

Seventeen percent are willing to continue to support Chen, only four.

Ninety-seven percent turned to Ke Zhien, 13.

32% undecided; voters who voted for Li Meizhen of the Kuomintang last time were 87.

Thirty-seven percent supported Ke Zhien, only three.

16% turned to Chen Qimai, 7.

Thirty-seven percent undecided.

Both blue and green, very few will switch to the other two independent candidates.

In terms of party preference, the Kaohsiung Citizens Progressive Party (pan-green) has a support rating of 33.3.

58%, the Kuomintang (pan-blue) is ten.

Eighty-five percent, the People's Party three.

18%, the power of the times ○.

Sixty-five percent, one.

Twenty-two percent supported other political parties, 50.

May 1% does not favor any political party.

According to the cross-analysis of political parties, there are 90 DPP and pan-green supporters.

Twenty-five percent support Chen Qimai, 1.

Thirty-nine percent will vote for Ke Zhien, eight.

Thirty-six percent are undecided.

There are 87 Kuomintang and Pan-Blue supporters.

○7% support Ke Zhien, 9.

Forty-eight percent turned to Chen Qimai, three.

Four or five percent have not yet been decided.

Chen Qimai's support is 37.

Seventy-eight percent, Ke Zhien was seventeen.

Fifty-nine percent, thirty-nine.

Sixty-three percent are undecided, and the other two independent candidates both have less than four percentage points of support.

As for the third force, there are 41 supporters of the People's Party.

18% support Ke Zhien, 23.

Fifty-three percent supported Chen Qimai; there were fifty-seven supporters of the times.

14% supported Chen Qimai, and no one expressed support for Ke Zhien.

Polling trends show that both Chen Qimai and Ke Zhien can effectively consolidate their supporters, and Chen is even more able to consolidate the basics than Ke. In Kaohsiung City, the gap between the blue and green basics exceeds 20 percentage points, and among voters who are neutral, Chen Qimai. The support of China is also significantly ahead, and the overall situation is at a disadvantage.