Optimism about the victory of the next Kaohsiung mayor

[Reporter Lin Liangsheng/Taipei Report] In the Kaohsiung mayoral election, the Kuomintang Ke Zhien challenged Kaohsiung Mayor Chen Qimai. Although the Ke camp made a big show of the blue camp and tried to boost the election, it still faced a backwardness in support, and even crossed the line according to the polls of this newspaper. Analysis shows that at the end of September, among voters who expressed support for Ke, more than 40% were optimistic that Chen Hui would be elected, even more than that they were optimistic about Ke being elected.

The Kuomintang recruited Ke Zhien to challenge the difficult constituency against Chen Qimai, the mayor of Kaohsiung, who was seeking re-election.

According to the latest poll by this newspaper, Chen Qimai's support is higher than that of Ke Zhien Da 31.

Seventy-one percentage points; in terms of optimism, Chen even ranked 68.

○ Seven percent rolling Ke's eight.

Ninety-nine percent, a gap of nearly 60 percentage points.

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Cross analysis shows that among Ke Zhien's supporters, there are 43.

Seventy-seven percent are optimistic that Chen Qimai will be elected, only 40.

08% are optimistic about Ke Zhien being elected, 16.

One or two percent have no opinion; among Chen Qimai's supporters, as many as 89.

72% are optimistic that Chen Qimai will be elected, and only 0.5% are optimistic that Ke Zhien will be elected.

Seventy-two percent, nine.

Fifty-three percent had no opinion.

Polls show that Chen Qimai leads Ke Zhien by a large margin in all age groups. Among the middle and senior age groups, Chen's support is more than half, and the order is fifty-seven.

Ninety-two percent, fifty-four.

Nine percent, fifty-nine.

Two percent, fifty-one.

52%.

All age groups win

Compared with Chen Qimai, Ke Zhien's support in the above-mentioned four middle and senior age groups is 20.

Thirty-six percent, eighteen.

Sixty-three percent, seventeen.

sixty one.

11%, the gap in support between the two sides is not small.

From the age of twenty to twenty-nine, Chen Qimai was forty-nine.

46% ahead of Ke Zhien's 25.

54%; Chen Qimai also took 42.

Eighty-six percent ahead of Ke Zhien's twenty-three.

Six or six percent.

In addition, about 20% to 25% of voters in most age groups have not yet decided, and nearly 40% of those over the age of 70 have not yet decided.

Based on the cross-analysis of academic qualifications, Chen Qimai's support in elementary schools, middle schools, high schools, universities, research institutes and other groups has exceeded 50%, which is significantly ahead of Ke Zhien. Complete, up to sixty.

82%; Ke Zai's degree of support among the ethnic groups with a college degree is 31.

Thirty-two percent, but still behind Chen XII.

○ Nine percent.