"This mobilization is in Russia.

The fact that they are trying to throw this bridge over us, what will happen to us... And if it doesn't happen?

You, the propagandists, would be crushed.

And they won't get anything for it.

They need to create a situation.

To hold on to something.

There will be no mobilization.

This is a lie,"

Lukashenko

said in response to questions from state media journalists.

SEE ALSO: Lukashenka said that "there will be no mobilizations in Belarus"

Lukashenko did not say that it will

never

happen .

But it won't happen yet.

Lukashenka's reaction coincides with the earlier comment of the State Secretary of the Security Council of Belarus, Alexander

Valfovich

, made on the day of the Russian mobilization, after negotiations with his Russian colleague Patrushev.

Valfovich said that there will be no mobilization in Belarus, because "the country is already mobilized."

In the context, this metaphor sounded like undisguised sarcasm.

Today, Lukashenko repeated Valfovich's words without rhetorical embellishments.

SEE ALSO: "Mobilization is not about us, we are already mobilized," - State Secretary of the Security Council of Belarus Valfovich

It is interesting that on February 24 and later, Lukashenka constantly justified Russian military actions.

Everyone remembers the meme "I'll show you where Ukraine was preparing an attack on Belarus."

Now, no words of support or understanding of the need for Russian mobilization have come from Lukashenka's mouth.

However, the day before, they were spoken by the Minister of Foreign Affairs of Belarus,

Vladimir Makei

.

In a conversation with journalists, the former "pigeon" said:

"All the measures that will be aimed at strengthening, at ensuring the security of the state, at achieving the goals that the special military operation is pursuing in principle, I think that is absolutely correct;

not because we are allies and are in a union state, but absolutely reasonable logic, common sense dictates any decisive action, if it is connected with the need to guarantee the security of one's state," said the head of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Belarus.

SEE ALSO: How will the West respond to the mobilization in Russia?

Expert interpretation

But Lukashenka did not have a good word to say about the Russian mobilization.

As well as about the pseudo-referendums on joining the Russian Federation in the four regions of Ukraine occupied by Russia.

In an interesting way, today's statements of Lukashenka resonate with the demarche of the head of Chechnya, Ramzan Kadyrov.

Kadyrov rules the region of the Russian Federation, he was and is one of the most ardent supporters of the war.

But it turns out that even his pro-military momentum has certain limits.

Today, Kadyrov announced that there will be no mobilization in Chechnya.

SEE ALSO: Kadyrov: there will be no mobilization in Chechnya

That's it.

It will be in the Russian Federation, but not in Chechnya.

Maybe he made an agreement with the Kremlin, or maybe this is an actual rebellion.

After all, it is one thing to tell in Telegram and on television about how the Chechens are destroying the "devil Nazis", and to send thousands and even tens of thousands of fellow tribesmen to die "for the Russian land" is another.

According to Kadyrov, that's enough, they won.

Greetings to the Russian cheer-patriots.

Maybe they will force him: they will order him, or buy him something and he will "change his mind".

But the word was said.

So, if the head of a region, an administrative unit of Russia, can refuse mobilization, then the leadership of a formally independent country, a member of the UN, can take the same position and be ready.

Mobilization was announced in Russia, but not war.

Putin's press secretary Dmitry Peskov emphasized that the format of the "special military operation" is being preserved.

And if it is preserved, then the obligations within the treaty on the "Union State" and the CSTO on mutual military assistance in the event of an attack on a member of the treaty do not apply.

SEE ALSO: "Your children are not even buried."

Zelensky addressed the citizens of Russia about mobilization

It is possible that following the results of the pseudo-referendums and the continuation of hostilities in the east and south of Ukraine (and Ukraine will continue them), Russia will declare itself the victim of an attack and introduce a state of war.

But, formally speaking, even then there is no automatism of contracts.

Just recently, Armenia and Kyrgyzstan became the victims of an attack on their sovereign territory.

Well, how did CSTO help them, how did it protect them?

CSTO General Secretary Stanislav Zasy was sent to Armenia to study the situation.

Well, even if Russia declares a state of war with Ukraine, he can be sent to study the situation.

No, if they take Lukashenka by the throat, they will force him to declare mobilization and enter the war.

But since February they have not forced.

And it is possible that they will not be forced even now.

Here is a kind of test: if they don't force Kadyrov, they won't force Lukashenka either.

Secure communication


with our editors.

HERE

SEE ALSO:

The BySol Foundation reported a sharp increase in evacuation requests.

66% of applications were submitted by Russians

In Russia and in the occupied territories of Ukraine, summonses to the Russian army began to be sent en masse

Western intelligence assessed the mobilization announced by Putin as a "significant political risk"

Aleksievich: after Russia's announcement of mobilization, Ukraine especially needs help from the West

Putin announced a partial mobilization in Russia for the war against Ukraine.

Shaigu named the plan: 300,000 people