The Washington think tank summed up the CCP's development of the 6th National Congress of Taiwan, saying that Xi's third session will focus on "harmony"

Chinese leader Xi Jinping.

(AFP)

[Instant News/Comprehensive Report] The Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), a U.S. think tank, conducted a questionnaire survey of experts on U.S.-China issues and Taiwan issues in the United States, and obtained 6 main results, including Beijing’s yet to form a mature unified strategy, Xi Jinping’s The third session focuses on peaceful reunification, and most people deny that the CCP will unify Taiwan by force by 2027.

"Deutsche Welle" reported that the first main result of the report is that China has not yet formed a mature reunification strategy. 84% of experts believe that Beijing is willing to wait for reunification, but does not accept the permanent status quo, and 9% believe that Beijing hopes to reunify as soon as possible , 6% speculate that Beijing wants to maintain the status quo forever.

Please read on...

The second is the military exercise in August 2022, which is not an accelerated reunification timetable. 44% of experts believe that reunification will be achieved before 2049, but 42% believe that as long as the hope of reunification is not dashed, China will continue to wait. In addition, 83% of people deny that before the end of Xi Jinping's third term in office in 2027, the CCP will take control of Taiwan by force.

Third, 79% of experts believe that Xi Jinping will focus on peaceful reunification in his third term.

Fourth, 8% of people believe that a full-scale attack on Taiwan by the CCP is very likely within 10 years, and 63% of people believe that such a possibility exists.

Fifth, 77% of experts said that once Taiwan declares independence, China will provoke a war of aggression.

In the end, experts agree that China believes the U.S. military will intervene to protect Taiwan. Conversely, few experts believe that the U.S. will end strategic ambiguity and prevent China from using force against Taiwan, because China has long assumed that the U.S. will intervene militarily in the Taiwan Strait.