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"If Ukraine continues the counteroffensive, Putin will be backed into a corner. He cannot afford defeat, because internally it will end immediately. It is possible to escalate the intensity of the conflict. The other option is to expand it," he said in the broadcast. "120 minutes" on BTV Tsvetlin Yovchev

Tsvetlin Yovchev was born on May 7, 1964 in Pleven.

Graduated from the Nikola Higher Naval School, former chairman of DANS.

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Russian invasion of Ukraine 7000

He commented on U.S. analysis, according to which an escalation of hostilities in Ukraine could come along three lines - more massive missile strikes against Ukrainian cities, renewed attempts to eliminate the Ukrainian leadership, or limited strikes on the arms supply lines of the Ukrainian army in Poland or Romania.

"When the CIA announces it, it's a warning.

We see that strikes have begun on critical sites and civilian infrastructure," Yovchev added.

British MoD: Russia may step up attacks on civilian infrastructure in Ukraine

He also commented on the case of the expelled Russian diplomats from Bulgaria in the spring: "DANS has provided information about people sympathetic to the Russian state services.

There is no information whether the prosecution of 70 Russian diplomats took place at the request of DANS.

I even doubt it, because this is a crude act that is not in accordance with the methods of special services.

There are much more elegant and good methods by which the intelligence activity of the special services can be limited."

According to him, it is not necessary to expel all those who have data, since through them it is possible to monitor the topics that are the object of interest and to track the foreign network.

"Chasing everyone, you deprive yourself of intentions, evaluations.

When this thing happens you cut off your ability to monitor and control.

Not all of those expelled posed a direct threat to national security.

From this point of view, it was an unnecessary action," he stressed.

Regarding the DANS report for 2021

Bulgaria is an object of systematic intelligence interest, according to a report by the National Security Agency

"Behind the statements in the DANS report is quite serious information.

The office handles classified information and the report has a classified part - for the Council of Ministers, the President and the National Assembly, as well as an explicit part that is for the citizens," Yovchev explained.

"There is increased activity.

In recent months, attempts to wage a hybrid and information war have been visible on the surface.

In recent months there has been a lot of misinformation and attempts to shape these by having their own spokespeople," he added.

According to the former chairman of DANS, Bulgaria should not currently be negotiating with Gazprom for the supply of the blue fuel.

"Bulgaria was humiliated.

You should not negotiate with Gazprom when you have no alternatives.

If you announce in the media that you have no alternatives and you have to go and beg Gazprom for gas - extremely humiliating," said Yovchev categorically.

Russian invasion of Ukraine

Tsvetlin Yovchev

DANCE

Russian diplomats