HomeDissolve, not dissolve the House of Representatives, at Uncle Tu
Gritting teeth, discarding the last card, counting down the end of 3 years.
Thairath Online
Thai Rath Scoop
THE ISSUE
19 Aug 2022 2:09 p.m.
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Many parties, both cursing and cheering.
Watching the attitude of "Big Tu" Gen. Prayut Chan-ocha will decide whether to dissolve the parliament or resign?
Before August 23, 2022, from the position of Prime Minister, prohibited for more than 8 years, even though he insisted on not dissolving the House of Commons.
Let's continue to work for the people during the rest of the time to the fullest.
But with the pressure situation around
may be willing to swallow the blood to dissolve the parliament
gracefully stepped down from position
Better than procrastinating and waiting for the Constitutional Court to decide, it is possible. How will a military man like "Big Tu" choose the next path?
In the dangerous month of August
Because everything depends only on the Prime Minister.
Amid election preparations, politicians are running the dust for new nests in the party move.
Entering the final countdown mode, the "Big Tu" government, therefore, is not surprising that many parties are diligent in the area to compete for an advantage in the 2023 election battle with the collapse of the 3-P gang will become a new image in Thai politics.
Please follow me and don't blink.
from the analysis of
"Assoc. Prof. Dr. Yuthaporn Isarachai" Lecturer of the Faculty of Political Science
Sukhothai Thammathirat Open University
Quite confident that Gen. Prayut will not dissolve the parliament and will not resign.
Because it will cause problems with the stability of the government.
If in the event of the dissolution of the Council
It will lead to elections within 45 days, or not more than 60 days, or the fullest 2 months. For example, after the 2019 elections, it took more than 5 months to form a government.
Therefore, if the parliament is dissolved
there will be no government
In addition, the prime minister's 8-year knot is not over and there will be an APEC meeting.
causing the Prime Minister to prolong his time
otherwise it will be in acting.
If the parliament is dissolved
Assoc. Prof. Dr. Yuttaphon Isarachai is quite confident that Big Tu will not dissolve the parliament or resign.
As for the resignation, it is not good for me.
General Prayut
and with the general public
Because if he resigns before August 24, 2022, it means that there will be 6 candidates for the Prime Minister.
come back
It's the same problem.
leaving 5 prime minister candidates, namely Sudarat Keyuraphan, Chatchat Sitthiphan, Chaikasem Nitisiri, Anutin Charnvirakul and Abhisit Vejjajiva, but the prime minister's knot for 8 years is not over. Questions during acting whether Gen. Prayut
Is it still a prime minister? Consider August as a dangerous month.
both the electoral law
Dart appoints the transfer of civil servants, the military, the police, and even the budget law.
Therefore believe that the Prime Minister
will not decide to dissolve the parliament or resign
“Do not forget that the government situation After the debate, mistrust remained stable. Although Gen. Prayut Not the most beautiful score And the Big Pom score, Gen. Prawit Wongsuwan, is also better. but was able to pass the discussion This allowed him to stay until the end of 2023, so there was no sign of dissolving the House of Commons.”
political party ready
End of APEC meeting
have the opportunity to dissolve the parliament
In the case of political rallies after August 24, 2022 to pressure the expulsion
General Prayut
It looks quite difficult.
because the government has both legal tools
with intense use of power
and the mob is weak
unable to resurrect the mob
Or many people are worried that the mob will overthrow the APEC meeting.
same as a group
Did the UDD invade the ASEAN meeting in Pattaya in 2009 or not?
But today is very different.
This makes the APEC meeting only a small mob.
would not be able to fail the meeting like the ASEAN meeting
Therefore, follow up after the APEC meeting.
There is a high chance that the parliament will be dissolved.
but technically the dissolution of the parliament
To create an advantage in extending the election within 45 days to not more than 60 days to facilitate the campaign
and the relocation of political parties
Must join a new party within 90 days, unlike in the case of dissolution of the House of Representatives, the party must be moved within 30 days, which is a shorter period.
and the more the formula is used
The list of MPs, divided by 100 from the original dividing 500, is a reflection of this signal.
and is the preparation of each party
The end of "Big Tu" closes the legend of 3 years after the next election.
after the dissolution of the parliament
General Prayut
Coming back on the political path is not easy.
from long-standing economic problems
and political legitimacy
will be asked questions, causing the name of Gen. Prayut
Can't sell anymore
And the best solution is political layoff.
No need to wait for the Constitutional Court to decide the prime minister's clue for 8 years to step down beautifully, but Gen. Prayut
want to be APEC president
Because Thailand hasn't been for 20 years, but asks if it's not worth it or not.
until the future of politics ends here
"Big Tu has been a movie in the face of fire for many years. He has been hurt a lot. Unlike Big Pok, Gen. Anupong Phaochinda has never had a confrontation with the public despite having lived for 8 years as well. Big Pom can live because of his personal prestige. I think 3 P.S. is trying to find a way to end political roles. Will make this election change a lot or called Vote for Change, but if the election in a land slide There may be problems like in the past. Pheu Thai Party may not always land slide. Because there are no MPs in the south, and the next election will use 2 ballots, different numbers, and people's views may change from their values, beliefs and changing political context. There are more political parties."
Looking forward to the upcoming elections
Many people asked the opportunity.
Ung Ing-Paethongtarn Shinawatra becoming Prime Minister is not easy either.
Because the Pheu Thai Party has not yet decided to be the prime minister's candidate, and his father, Thaksin Shinawatra, must be assessed as carefully as possible.
not only the preferences of the people
must look at the terms of the law
Because it's my favorite daughter
You must add, subtract, multiply and divide well before making a decision.
I see that the entrance of Phae Thong Than is only colorful.
And it is a magnet to attract people who are about to leave the Pheu Thai Party only to come back.
Concluded after the APEC meeting
may have seen the dissolution of parliament
leading to new elections in 2023, causing a change in Thai politics.
Along with closing the legend "3 years" because during the 8 years that came to power, hoping to return happiness to the country
But it is not so under the management of "Big Tu". The way forward is to play politics fully.
would be very difficult
Because the name can't be sold anymore.
Author: Puranima
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