Chatchat Sitthiphan Land Slide that comes with expectations
and pressures from all poles
Thairath Online
Thai Rath Scoop
Interview
24 May 2022 15:00
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Land slide victory With more than 1.3 million votes, what signal is this to Chatchat Sittiphan, the new governor of Bangkok? How much has the front line changed in the Bangkok elections? from the displayed results Will the big stadium election strategy change with the outcome at the capital's battlefields?
Today,
"we"
try to listen to an analysis from
"Dr. Satitorn Thananithichot"
, Director of Innovation for Democracy Office.
King Prajadhipok's Institute
From those questions, let's see...
"Dr. Satithon Thananithichot" Director of Innovation for Democracy Office
King Prajadhipok's Institute
Public signal:
The most obvious signal from the people in the last Bangkok gubernatorial election was the
“person”
because it was very clear that if the people were to choose a person in an important position,
for the administration of the country
The people that political parties should be presented to choose from are people like
"Mr. Chatchart Sitthiphan"
.
Political parties should be meticulous in their selection.
especially in important positions
more politically
Politics may not have clear polarization.
But personal qualities like
"Khun Chatchart"
, in addition to making people on the same side view
Among our candidates
"This person is the best"
and people who are not on the same side see that
"it's still better than the person on his side"
and make a choice as well.
As a result, it has merged scores from both the government, the opposition and the neutral.
“If we go out and look at the scores of the Sor Kor. Compared with the scores of Mr. Chatchat, it can be seen that Votes for choosing the Sor. Kor. of the Pheu Thai Party. Which has more than 600,000 votes, this one will choose Mr. Chatchart for sure, the Kaw Klai Party, Mr. Wirot Lakkhana-adisorn, received over 200,000 votes for the governor, but the votes for the election of the Sor Kor. The Progress Party has about 400,000 more than the number of votes. Now it becomes clear that about 200,000 more votes should be poured over to Mr. Chatchart or in the case of Mr. Suchatvee, this is clear that we have gained about 200,000 points, but the scores selected for the Sor Kor. have received about 300,000 points. It shows that more than 100,000 lost points It was also transferred to Mr. Chatchat. This is clearly numerically tangible. Therefore, Mr. Chatchat is an important magnet. that caused this kind of phenomenon.”
New Voter Second Voter :
According to the survey results of King Prajadhipok's Institute, the
New Voter
group gave most of the votes to Khun Chatchat.
Will get more points from the
Second Voter
group or the Generation Y group or the age group in their late 20s or early 30s, with some moments when the scores from this group swing between Khun Chatchart and Khun Wirot
But the real reason that Ms. Chatchat got more votes from New Voter is because of this group of people.
intends to choose Mr. Chatchart, who clearly shows that he will apply for Bangkok Governor before anyone else in the first place
Even though during the last curve, Khun Wirote will do well, especially when giving a speech.
or a television debate until the New Voter group has some hesitation
but because the party has advanced
The launch of Khun Wirot is very slow, coming to score later, including Mr. Chatchat, able to come back to pull momentum in the last 3-4 days before the election, everything has been successful, so nothing has changed.
“Given the momentum in the last corner of Mr. Chatchat, New Voter flashes back to his previous decision: In the end, we had to choose Khun Chatchart successfully.”
Chatchart Sitthiphan, the new governor of Bangkok
Prime Minister Chatchat Sitthiphan :
“Even though Thailand is not a straight line like that.”
Because of the
700,000 points
alone, the people of Bangkok had high expectations.
but in the case of Mr. Chatchart
Scored a land slide of 1.3 million, which is an unprecedented high.
Plus, in this number of points, we must not forget that
coming from opposite poles as well
So it makes you Chatchart.
Carrying very high expectations
(long drag)
If a mistake happens, especially in Bangkok, where it is known that
“easy to change, get bored quickly”
, everything may not turn out as expected.
Signs of the end of the political conflict :
“In my personal opinion, I think not at all because this time is a person named Chatchat. which can transcend conflicts.”
Personal qualities and personality of Mr. Chatchart is a person who does not argue or fight with anyone.
Plus, going in a compromise and more open to lose, but on the other hand, if it's a big election field
“It might not be a person like Mr. Chatchat,”
especially if each party sends another person.
“Especially those who face-to-face, the conflicts are clearly visible.” And when entering the big election arena, each party tends to play to their fullest.
Perhaps it could make people relive the conflicts of the past.
Chatchat model, strategies that may be picked up by the Pheu Thai Party in the major elections:
“Well, seriously, the strategy of applying on behalf of the independent and then project a compromise and open to all parties to come and work together Anyone can define But it was successful because The image of Mr. Chatchat It has already projected that image. It looks real. It doesn't look like it's just a political strategy. Then come perform to get a score of something like that.”
which the strategy laid out for you Chatchart
Until winning the election in a land slide is something that the Pheu Thai Party will definitely use in the big election field.
“The only big question is... Will the Pheu Thai Party have a magnet at the level of Mr. Chatchat? Can you?"
Pheu Thai Party has received a lot of Sor Kor. Because it is also on the Chatchat Fever trend.
But if the election field is large
There is no one who has the qualifications like Mr. Chatchat to hang again. It will be
"another problem".
Chatchat model, strategy for all political parties :
“Actually, every political party should use it.”
At this time, the people are
"tired"
of political conflict, and as a result, the final
"polarity"
attempt has not been successful.
The results of this election should be able to tell that
"Please don't take it. Conflict"
It's time to move forward with the country.
I want people who have hope, can really work, and move forward together.
In spite of the fact that some may
"I don't want to cross over to the other side",
but I want someone who can get it to choose
sound base in Bangkok of each political party:
“The result is that the scores remain the same.”
The vote of the House of Representatives for the
Pheu Thai Party
has gained about
600,000
, actually a slight decrease from the previous Bangkok MP election.
But of course, the local electoral field
People who come out to exercise the right may be less, plus or minus no more than 10%.
As
for the Kao Klai
Party or the former
Future Forward Party
, in the last Bangkok MPs election, it gained
more than 800,000 votes
, but this election, the MPs. This time, it gained
more than 400,000 votes
. Thailand from the dissolution of the Thai Raksa Chart Party, including plus or minus no more than
10%
from those who exercised their rights
The score obtained this time was still the same.
As
for the Democratic Party,
it received
300,000 votes in the last election, almost 400,000 votes
, which although it looks quite a drop compared to
more than 400,000 votes
received in the previous election, but that time, but this time there was a factor in the House of Representatives
" being swarmed and sucked in"
until causing the score that has been reduced to be involved as well
which shows that
Big fan of the Democrat Party in Bangkok is still strong.
has not decreased horribly until it may be extinct
As previously worried, only
"Dr. Satithon Thananithichot" Director of Innovation for Democracy Office
King Prajadhipok's Institute
may still be
"not recovered"
to return to Fever as before, which has been 3 years ago, still enough to maintain the old sound base
It should be able to be called
"satisfactory"
, that is, it does not fall, but it does not disappear in a flash.
Points front in the military zone :
“Say it honestly. This election is difficult to measure.”
personal opinion think
There is no clear signal sent in this election for the Bangkok governor, which may be due to
“The stakes are not high,”
so there is no need to take any risks.
until it may affect the imminent major elections
This may be because it is already predictable that it is
“difficult to win”
, so it may not be necessary to focus on anything much.
in which cases occur similar to
with what happened in the previous Laksi MPs repair elections, who would have thought that
“If you have already invested until you are faced with various accusations
It might not be worth it.”
Voting test from the government pole before the big stadium election :
“Maybe you can say that.”
The big problem for the government in this Bangkok governor's election field is that
"it cannot be cut from one side to be the only one for this election"
.
Because there are applicants who overlap and are close to each other, that is, if translated in the local language is
"Oh, if you want to fight, then go fight"
, resulting in a cut-off of both upper and lower scores until the score come out as seen
“Actually, he probably wants to win. But when they can't get together, they have to let go because the real thing is at the big stadium elections. Local races you want to compete in. But when the big stadium comes together,
Summary of the Bangkok Governor's election:
“The opposition should not be complacent or disheartened. At the same time, the government should not panic until the incident. because it wasn't that bad Because the outcome is more than just the opposition, the government, but at least the phenomenon of Mr. Chatchat It has been shown that People are not attached to political party brands. The idea is to send electric poles for him to choose and he will choose. it's not anymore Recruiting the right people and policies is another factor that should be given as much importance as a political party brand. Because people these days, they look detailed and have high expectations. In addition, the direction of the election for many small stadiums has a direction of choosing, not much different from the results of this Bangkok governor's election this time.”
Special news team, Thairath Online reports.
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