In the 2018 assembly elections in Madhya Pradesh, there was a strong fight between the Bharatiya Janata Party and the Congress and the results also came in line with that. The results of the exit polls before the results of the current election in Madhya Pradesh indicate that the history of 2018 is likely to be repeated in the state. On the other hand, the exit polls of Chhattisgarh elections indicate that the BJP will increase its seats in the state, but despite this, it will not be able to match the Congress.
As soon as the voting for the Telangana Assembly elections ended, the exit poll estimates of the assembly elections in five states were revealed by different media groups and institutions. In the 2018 Assembly polls, the Congress had won 230 seats and the BJP 114 in the 109-member Madhya Pradesh Assembly. This time, with a strong fight between the BJP and the Congress, the majority is expected to be decided by a very small margin. Out of the eight major surveys, BJP is likely to get a majority in 4 and Congress in 3.
Surveys by India Today-Axis My India, India TV-CNX, Republic TV-Meteorise, News24-Today's Chanakya have predicted a strong return of BJP to power in Madhya Pradesh. According to estimates of Dainik Bhaskar, Times Now-ETG, TV9 Bharatvansh-Pollstrat, the Congress can succeed in getting a majority. Apart from this, according to the exit poll of Jan Ki Baat, there may be a very slight difference in seats between BJP and Congress.The battle turned upside down due to rebellion
Overall, if we look at all the exit polls, this time the BJP is more likely to capture power in the state again. In the last election, the BJP had to be defeated at the hands of the Congress, although after about 15 months, due to the rebellion in the Congress, it had to lose power and the BJP managed to form the government again.
There are a total of 230 assembly seats in Madhya Pradesh and the majority mark is 116. According to NDTV's Poll of Exit Polls, based on the average of various exit polls, BJP is likely to get 102 seats, Congress 102 seats and others four seats in the state.BJP's seats likely to increase in Chhattisgarh
The neighbouring state of Chhattisgarh, which was once a part of Madhya Pradesh, was also won by the Congress in the 2018 elections. Exit polls have predicted that the Congress will repeat its victory this time too. However, after suffering a humiliating defeat in the last assembly elections, the bjp's performance in 15 seats has been clearly expressed this time.
In the 2018 elections, the Congress had won 90 of the 68 assembly seats in the state. The BJP was reduced to 15 seats in the last election, while Ajit Jogi's party Janata Congress Chhattisgarh (J) had to be satisfied with five and BSP had to be satisfied with two MLAs.
All of the nine major surveys conducted this time have predicted that the Congress will retain power in Chhattisgarh. It is facing a tough competition from the BJP and if the decision is changed by a small margin in a few seats and if independents and MLAs of other parties join the BJP, then the BJP can win.
There are a total of 90 assembly seats in Chhattisgarh and the majority mark is 46. Ndtv's poll of exit polls has predicted that BJP can get 38 seats and Congress 49 seats. Others may get 3 seats.BJP-Congress clash in central Indian states
The BJP has been in power in Madhya Pradesh for a long time and has made every effort in the elections to keep its state alive. On the other hand, despite winning in the last election, the Congress, which was ousted from power due to rebellion, has also worked hard to win again this time.
On the other hand, the BJP, which lost its hand from Chhattisgarh in the last election, has once again pushed to capture this stronghold. On the other hand, the Congress, which is firmly established in the state, has sweated a lot in the elections to retain power. How true and how wrong the surveys' predictions prove will be clear on December 3.
Suryakant Pathak is the deputy editor of the Khabar.ndtv.com.
Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are the personal views of the author.