The mathematician from BAS Prof. Nikolay Vitanov published his forecast for the development of the fifth wave of the pandemic in Bulgaria.

In it he reports: "It is the third week of the reign of Omicron.

Superfire - no.

Everything on the topic:

Omicron - the new coronavirus variant 662

According to mathematics, three trends need to be broken to end the wave: "One trend has been broken (the growing number of new COVID-19s), but the other - the employment of hospitals - is not yet. However, the news is good there.

As expected, employment will not reach 60% of the maximum possible capacity.

Which is a great success for the whole health system.

We are going very well through this, the highest of all waves ", said Vitanov.

Delta can return powerfully after Omicron

According to him, the peak of high mortality will be broken last.

This is expected to begin in the second half of February.

Towards the end of the month, the mathematician predicts.

The basic reproductive number is still 1.02, he added.

"King Omicron's crusade ended fatally for him in Bulgaria.

Last hope - to activate the instasto part of the people, which will bring a secondary peak.

7 263 new cases of coronavirus in our country

According to Vitanov, the scenario for a secondary peak is unstable so far.

The other part of the people is powerful.

But there are people who know how a social system scenario behaves in a destabilized state.

Let's see what happens.

The expectation is that a reasonable part of the Bulgarian people will be able to carry the burden on their backs during this crisis, he added.

The number of COVID-19 patients worldwide has fallen by 17% in the last week

On the topic of anti-epidemic measures, Prof. Vitanov commented: “There are no excessive measures, there are measures only where necessary.

You can see that the measures in Sofia will even weaken.

There is no need for a total lockdown.

Note - some do not even feel that there are measures.

Put your hand on your heart and admit that during this wave the rapier of measures was used economically and extremely efficiently.

And he concludes: "We are doing well.

The virus spins, sucks, tries to ignite the superfire, but it doesn't work.

Don't help the virus - its blood is flowing and it will crash.

I am writing to you again - let Vute be well once.

The tactic is simple: We keep the current scenario stable and we will see the bill on this wave as well.

Vute will be fine too, and I will be able to say only good news on March 19. "

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Omicron - the new coronavirus variant 662

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Omicron - the new coronavirus variant

Prof. Nikolai Vitanov