American experts believe that China is facing economic, technological and geopolitical challenges, and the next 10 years will be over.

(Associated Press file photo)

[Financial Channel/Comprehensive Report] American geopolitics expert Peter Zeihan recently accepted an interview with Joe Rogan, a well-known podcaster, to talk about China's future.

He asserted that China is facing a severe population crisis, lacks young labor force, and wages have skyrocketed 14 times; technological progress mostly relies on the theft of intellectual property rights from other countries. Taiwan is also unable to operate Taiwan’s semiconductor factories, especially China is the world’s largest energy and food importer. If it is subject to international sanctions, 500 million people will starve to death in less than a year. Coupled with Xi Jinping’s autocracy, China is now the world’s most vulnerable The country in the next 10 years will definitely be over.

American geopolitics expert Peter Zeihan said that in the past 10 years, most developed countries have faced mass retirement, and the original economic model has gradually disintegrated. In the next 10 years, these situations will happen in developing countries. We recently found that Many Chinese jumped ship and this will be their last 10 years.

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Demographic distortions are worse than Sri Lanka's 30-year civil war

Zheng Han believes that the globalization system and consumption patterns we know have come to an end, trade will be concentrated in countries with better population ratios and security infrastructure, and global trade will pay more attention to regions with good population structure and security.

Asked why China has at most 10 years left?

Zheng Han first analyzed the problem of population structure. He bluntly said that China's population data is falsified, and more than 100 million people are overcounted. These populations should have been born since the implementation of the one-child policy.

In other words, China should have more people aged 20-60.

He said that the reason why China implemented family planning stemmed from Mao Zedong's fear that in the process of modernizing the country, if the birth rate did not decline fast enough, the younger generation would swallow the CCP alive.

This, combined with years of official Chinese encouragement of population migration to cities, has contributed to the current population collapse.

And according to the official male-to-female ratio of 1 to 1.2, "this distortion is worse than Sri Lanka, which has been fighting a civil war for 30 years."

Due to the lack of young people, the cost of labor has risen, which is 14 times higher than in 2000 and one-third higher than that of Mexico today. The superimposed Chinese education system is crammed, and intellectual property rights are stolen everywhere. This has led to China's past In 15 years, no substantial technological progress has been made.

500 million people died of starvation after Taiwan was sanctioned 

Recently, the Biden administration has also increased the export control of Chinese semiconductors, and there is a lack of young people to stimulate consumption. China's technology industry is dead, and it can be called the most vulnerable country in the world.

In view of the current situation in Russia, the prices of many raw materials have skyrocketed, especially food and energy, and China is the world's largest importer of energy and food. Given the current situation, it is difficult for China to escape unscathed.

All countries in the world should act decisively as soon as possible to figure out how to live without China, because China will be finished in the next 10 years.

As for China's fate of being sanctioned for violating Taiwan, Zheng Han said that the Chinese will be miserable. No matter how much you look down on the Russian economy, even if it is corrupt and inefficient, Russia is an exporter of food and energy. If the sanctions against Russia are increased All in China, within one year, China's industry will be completely disintegrated, and 500 million people will starve to death.

Even if China occupies Taiwan without a single soldier, it will not solve the problem of dependence on imported energy and food, and it will have to look at the face of the United States.

Furthermore, China is unable to operate all the semiconductor production facilities in Taiwan. "Their own chip factories are the worst in the world."

Facing the severe economic situation and geopolitical problems, what is China's solution?

Zheng Han said that China can only win over one country that can help you and reach an agreement. At present, it seems that only the United States can save China.

The United States will offer a strategic surrender condition, which is impossible for the CCP to accept. Instead, it adopts a nationalist model and gives the people a non-economic reason to support the government. For example, even if they are unemployed and cannot support their families, "as long as I am Chinese is enough." Whether the government's thinking in recent years can maintain the CCP's rule is still unknown.

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